How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Steelers 23 Bengals 7 +2.7
+0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)-1.4
-0.1
Bears 7 Patriots 36 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Steelers vs Jets+3.3+3.3-5.9-7.1-7.4
+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.4-0.4
Ravens vs Saints-3.0-2.9-2.5+3.6+3.6
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Patriots vs Packers-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Steelers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
133-0-0In1981474,458
12.52-0-1In18823,821
122-1-0100.0%29800483,981
1-0-2In1006
11.51-1-175.51742142,463
111-2-073.37210720139,948
0-1-280.080205
10.50-2-127.821601360324
100-3-028.0819165708,382
Total:96.0%9870013001,113,388
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/9100.0*Lottery seed
Steelers 23 Bengals 7 -0.3
Bears 7 Patriots 36 +0.1
Lions 7 Packers 3 -0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)+0.1
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Lottery seed
Steelers vs Jets-0.4-0.4+0.4+0.8+0.8
Ravens vs Saints+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2
Patriots vs Packers+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
133-0-09981
12.52-0-121782
122-1-001980000
1-0-2100
11.51-1-1148261591
111-2-03438100191610
0-1-2404020
10.50-2-112033001339182
100-3-0085131030329100
Total:4582500001200000