Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 2010

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 21.3%

6-7-0 .462

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	-10.9		-0.9
Saints 31 Rams 13	+5.7		+0.3
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30			+0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17			+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants			-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Seahawks vs Falcons	+19.3+19.8+18.9-7.7-7.6		+1.6+1.6+1.5-0.6-0.6
Rams vs Chiefs	-9.2-9.2+6.8+8.0+8.2		-0.5-0.5+0.3+0.4+0.4
Chargers vs 49ers	+1.6+1.6*+1.4-5.8-5.9		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5
Panthers vs Cardinals	-0.9-1.0*-0.8+0.6+0.7		-0.1-0.1*-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vikings vs Bears			-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Redskins			+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Seahawks finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

9		3	-	0	-	0	In				0	100													49,736
8	.5	2	-	0	-	1	94.1	%				94			0	1	4								843
8		2	-	1	-	0	56.9					57			0	8	28	6	0	0					281,534
		1	-	0	-	2	50.0					50				25	25								4
7	.5	1	-	1	-	1	41.3					41					46	12	0	0					3,164
7		1	-	2	-	0	4.9					5					26	50	18	1	0				501,555
		0	-	1	-	2	Out										11	56	33						9
6	.5	0	-	2	-	1	Out										17	43	32	7	0				2,611
6		0	-	3	-	0	Out										1	13	40	33	12	1	0		273,932

Total:							21.3	%			0	21			0	2	19	27	18	9	3	0	0		1,113,388

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	+2.1
Saints 31 Rams 13	-0.5
Bills 13 Browns 6	-0.1
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0	+0.1
Jets 6 Dolphins 10	+0.1
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13	-0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	-0.1
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	-0.1
Titans 28 Colts 30	-0.0
Redskins 16 Bucs 17	-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seahawks vs Falcons	-3.5-3.6-3.2+1.4+1.4
Rams vs Chiefs	+1.0+0.9-0.7-0.8-0.9
Chargers vs 49ers	-0.2-0.2-0.0+0.7+0.7
Panthers vs Cardinals	+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1
Cowboys vs Redskins	-0.0-0.0-0.2+0.0+0.1
Vikings vs Bears	+0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1
Bengals vs Browns	-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1
Raiders vs Broncos	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Titans vs Texans	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Colts vs Jaguars	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Dolphins vs Bills	+0.0+0.0*-0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

9		3	-	0	-	0						0	11	89
8	.5	2	-	0	-	1							3	91						0	1	2	2	1
8		2	-	1	-	0							0	57					0	0	1	4	6	12	14	6	1	0	0
		1	-	0	-	2								50										50
7	.5	1	-	1	-	1								41								0	2	16	27	12	2	0
7		1	-	2	-	0								5								0	0	1	7	23	32	23	8	2	0	0
		0	-	1	-	2																		11		11	11	56		11
6	.5	0	-	2	-	1																		0	3	16	30	30	16	4	0
6		0	-	3	-	0																		0	0	1	6	16	25	25	19	7	1	0	0

Total:												0	0	21					0	0	0	1	1	3	7	12	16	14	10	7	5	2	0	0	0