St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances 2010 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.1 to 49.5%

6-7-0 .462

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Saints 31 Rams 13	-13.0		-0.9
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	+6.7		+0.3
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30			+0.0
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)			*+0.0
Redskins 16 Bucs 17			+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants			-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rams vs Chiefs	+14.2+14.2-3.4-13.8-14.3		+1.1+1.1-0.2-1.0-1.1
Seahawks vs Falcons	-7.3-7.1-7.9+7.2+7.3		-0.4-0.4-0.5+0.4+0.4
Chargers vs 49ers	+6.1+6.3+6.1-5.6-6.1		+0.3+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3
Panthers vs Cardinals	+0.5+0.5-0.2*-0.3-0.5		+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cowboys vs Redskins			+0.0+0.1-0.3-0.1-0.0
Vikings vs Bears			-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.1
Bucs vs Lions			+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Rams finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

9		3	-	0	-	0	In				0	100													124,462
8	.5	2	-	0	-	1	In					100													1,498
8		2	-	1	-	0	83.4	%				83			0	1	13	3							375,449
		1	-	0	-	2	75.0					75					25								4
7	.5	1	-	1	-	1	49.1					49					27	19	4	0					3,050
7		1	-	2	-	0	15.1					15					26	39	17	3	0				374,675
		0	-	1	-	2	Out											33	67						3
6	.5	0	-	2	-	1	1.8					2					3	20	42	30	3				1,516
6		0	-	3	-	0	Out											3	27	46	19	6	0		123,933

Total:							49.5	%			0	49			0	0	15	16	10	7	2	1	0		1,004,590

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Saints 31 Rams 13	+2.1
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	-0.6
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	-0.1
Bills 13 Browns 6	-0.1
Jets 6 Dolphins 10	+0.1
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0	+0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17	-0.0
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	-0.0
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Rams vs Chiefs	-2.4-2.4+0.3+2.3+2.4
Seahawks vs Falcons	+0.9+0.8+0.9-0.9-0.9
Chargers vs 49ers	-0.6-0.6-0.7+0.5+0.6
Cowboys vs Redskins	-0.0-0.1+0.5+0.1+0.0
Raiders vs Broncos	+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.1-0.1
Bengals vs Browns	-0.1-0.1+0.3+0.0+0.1
Colts vs Jaguars	+0.0-0.0+0.2-0.0-0.0
Panthers vs Cardinals	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
Giants vs Eagles	+0.0-0.1-0.2*-0.0-0.0
Vikings vs Bears	+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Bucs vs Lions	-0.0-0.1*-0.2+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

9		3	-	0	-	0					0	0	58	42
8	.5	2	-	0	-	1							10	90
8		2	-	1	-	0							1	82					0	0	2	4	5	4	2	1	0	0
		1	-	0	-	2								75									25
7	.5	1	-	1	-	1								49								0	3	12	19	12	4	0	0
7		1	-	2	-	0								15								0	1	5	14	22	21	14	6	2	0	0
		0	-	1	-	2																						100
6	.5	0	-	2	-	1								2										0	1	4	16	31	28	15	3	0
6		0	-	3	-	0																			0	0	2	10	21	28	25	11	3	0	0

Total:											0	0	8	42					0	0	1	1	2	3	6	8	8	7	5	4	3	1	0	0	0