How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 -7.3
-1.3
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0 +3.1
-0.0
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 -0.2
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)+0.1
Bills 13 Browns 6 +0.1
Titans 28 Colts 30 +0.1
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Raiders vs Broncos+1.9+2.0-5.5-5.8-5.6
+0.4+0.4-0.4-1.3-1.3
Chargers vs 49ers-1.6-1.5*-1.4+5.6+5.8
-0.1-0.1*-0.1+0.4+0.4
Rams vs Chiefs+3.1+3.0-2.5-2.7-2.7
+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2
Titans vs Texans+0.0+0.0+0.2-0.1-0.0
Colts vs Jaguars-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dolphins vs Bills-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1+0.1
Bengals vs Browns+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Raiders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
93-0-037.1%13244222881171,279
8.52-0-12.50273540152,081
82-1-01.0011103543100481,090
1-0-2Out132513508
7.51-1-1Out011662213,324
71-2-0Out012054232376,811
0-1-2Out5025254
6.50-2-1Out12473661,195
60-3-0Out0135232277,596
Total:6.2%2414917262412301,113,388
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/9100.0*Lottery seed
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 +2.1
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 +0.2
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)-0.1
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0 -0.1
Bills 13 Browns 6 -0.1
Titans 28 Colts 30 -0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17 +0.0
Lions 7 Packers 3 -0.0
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30 -0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants+0.1+0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Lottery seed
Raiders vs Broncos-0.8-0.9+1.0+2.5+2.5
Rams vs Chiefs-0.3-0.2+0.4+0.2+0.2
Chargers vs 49ers+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.5-0.5
Titans vs Texans-0.0+0.0-0.3+0.0+0.0
Colts vs Jaguars+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2
Dolphins vs Bills+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1
Seahawks vs Falcons+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bucs vs Lions+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
Bengals vs Browns-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Panthers vs Cardinals-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0
Vikings vs Bears+0.1+0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1
Cowboys vs Redskins-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1
Patriots vs Packers-0.0-0.0*-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
93-0-01324017172013510
8.52-0-10112133337130
82-1-000100213343910100
1-0-2382538
7.51-1-1075033810
71-2-0001031311872000
0-1-22575
6.50-2-1161833261330
60-3-0014132327219200
Total:24000134815211511632211000