New York Jets Playoff Chances 2010

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 0.2%

9-4-0 .692

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Jets 6 Dolphins 10	-5.7		-0.5
Bears 7 Patriots 36	-5.2		-0.2
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)			-0.1
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers vs Jets	-0.2-0.2*+0.2+0.4+0.4		-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.4+0.4
Patriots vs Packers	-0.2Out+0.3+0.2+0.2
Ravens vs Saints			-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Chargers vs 49ers			-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rams vs Chiefs			+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Jets finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

12		3	-	0	-	0	1.9	%	2	0			82	16											110,050
11	.5	2	-	0	-	1	1.9		1	1			78	20											1,505
11		2	-	1	-	0	0.0		0	0	0		33	67											429,470
		1	-	0	-	2	Out						33	67											6
10	.5	1	-	1	-	1	Out						29	71											3,472
10		1	-	2	-	0	Out						3	80	16	0									460,022
		0	-	1	-	2	Out							100											4
9	.5	0	-	2	-	1	Out						2	62	32	3	0								1,520
9		0	-	3	-	0	Out							24	54	19	3	0							107,339

Total:							0.2	%	0	0	0		22	63	12	2	0	0							1,113,388

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Jets 6 Dolphins 10	+1.3
Bears 7 Patriots 36	+0.3
Lions 7 Packers 3	-0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	+0.1
Saints 31 Rams 13	+0.1
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Steelers vs Jets	+0.5+0.5-0.9-1.1-1.1
Ravens vs Saints	+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.0-0.1
Giants vs Eagles	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Bucs vs Lions	+0.1+0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Patriots vs Packers	-0.1-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.1
Chargers vs 49ers	+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Rams vs Chiefs	-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0
Titans vs Texans	+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12		3	-	0	-	0	0	2	0	0					34	60	5
11	.5	2	-	0	-	1		1	1	1					33	58	7
11		2	-	1	-	0		0	0	0	0				1	28	52	18	1	0
		1	-	0	-	2									17	17	67
10	.5	1	-	1	-	1									0	23	54	21	2	0
10		1	-	2	-	0									0	0	10	37	40	12	1	0
		0	-	1	-	2												75	25
9	.5	0	-	2	-	1										0	3	19	40	29	9	1	0
9		0	-	3	-	0											0	2	13	34	36	13	2	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	0				4	17	25	23	18	8	4	1	0	0