How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 +11.0
+1.1
Titans 28 Colts 30 -6.3
-0.2
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)*+0.8
+0.1
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 -0.2
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Jaguars-22.1-22.4+40.1InIn
-1.1-1.1+2.0+2.2+2.2
Dolphins vs Bills-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1
Chargers vs 49ers-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Rams vs Chiefs+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Titans vs Texans+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Steelers vs Jets-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bengals vs Browns-0.0-0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jaguars finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
113-0-0In0811997,216
10.52-0-1In079201,369
102-1-086.3%186801840390,112
1-0-2In17836
9.51-1-187.41869017403,322
91-2-035.03320632261466,180
0-1-281.8821811
8.50-2-135.20357292721,846
80-3-00.0001063243153,326
Total:54.1%015390061620401,113,388
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/9100.0*Lottery seed
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 -1.9
Titans 28 Colts 30 +0.5
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 +0.2
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)-0.1
Saints 31 Rams 13 -0.0
49ers 40 Seahawks 21 -0.0
Lions 7 Packers 3 -0.0
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30 +0.0
Redskins 16 Bucs 17 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Lottery seed
Colts vs Jaguars+2.2+2.2-4.0-4.5-4.5
Dolphins vs Bills+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1
Chargers vs 49ers+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs Bears-0.0-0.0-0.2+0.0+0.0
Giants vs Eagles+0.0-0.0+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bucs vs Lions+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rams vs Chiefs-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Patriots vs Packers-0.0-0.0*-0.1+0.1+0.0
Steelers vs Jets+0.0+0.0*-0.2-0.1-0.0
Titans vs Texans-0.0+0.0*-0.2+0.0+0.0
Bengals vs Browns+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
113-0-000414019
10.52-0-10394120
102-1-01176800135410
1-0-21783
9.51-1-101869135310
91-2-03284000211302110
0-1-2641818
8.50-2-1028711128222
80-3-000011149308100
Total:00411372000136141651000