New York Giants Playoff Chances 2010

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 25.5%

8-4-0 .667

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	-9.1		-0.3
Bears 7 Patriots 36			+0.1
Lions 7 Packers 3			+0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17			-0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13			-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	-13.4-12.1+5.0+7.1+8.8		-0.9-0.8+0.0+0.5+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Giants vs Eagles	+17.5+11.2-15.5-24.5-24.6		+0.9+0.7-0.7-1.3-1.3
Bucs vs Lions			-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs Bears			+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Patriots vs Packers			+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

12		4	-	0	-	0	In		1	99															85,364
11	.5	3	-	0	-	1	89.9	%	0	83	6		4	6											1,393
11		3	-	1	-	0	47.6		0	34	14		5	45	3										340,232
		2	-	0	-	2	63.6			64				36											11
10	.5	2	-	1	-	1	28.4			11	17		3	60	9	0									3,751
10		2	-	2	-	0	7.8			1	7		2	58	29	4									426,038
		1	-	1	-	2	15.4			8	8			62	15	8									13
9	.5	1	-	2	-	1	2.1				2			16	47	35									3,006
9		1	-	3	-	0	0.3				0			8	47	44	1								214,644
		0	-	2	-	2	Out							25	50	25									4
8	.5	0	-	3	-	1	Out								10	87	3								766
8		0	-	4	-	0	Out								5	65	29	0							38,166

Total:							25.5	%	0	18	7		2	38	21	12	1	0							1,113,388

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	+0.6
Bears 7 Patriots 36	-0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	+0.1
Lions 7 Packers 3	-0.1
Jets 6 Dolphins 10	-0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17	+0.1
Saints 31 Rams 13	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	+1.8+1.7-0.0-1.1-1.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants vs Eagles	-1.8-1.4+1.2+2.5+2.5
Steelers vs Jets	-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.2
Vikings vs Bears	-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Bucs vs Lions	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1
Patriots vs Packers	-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Redskins	-0.0-0.0+0.2-0.0+0.0
Ravens vs Saints	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Rams vs Chiefs	-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Chargers vs 49ers	+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Bills	+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.1-0.1
Colts vs Jaguars	-0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.0+0.0
Titans vs Texans	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Bengals vs Browns	+0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12		4	-	0	-	0	0	1	12	87
11	.5	3	-	0	-	1		0	9	74	6				3	6	1
11		3	-	1	-	0		0	0	34	14	0			1	18	29	5	0
		2	-	0	-	2			9	55							36
10	.5	2	-	1	-	1				11	13	5			0	10	33	26	2	0
10		2	-	2	-	0			0	1	2	5			0	3	28	43	15	3	0	0
		1	-	1	-	2				8		8					8	62	8		8
9	.5	1	-	2	-	1					0	2				0	1	14	36	34	12	1
9		1	-	3	-	0					0	0				0	0	5	19	33	29	12	2	0	0
		0	-	2	-	2													50		25	25
8	.5	0	-	3	-	1													0	5	30	40	23	2
8		0	-	4	-	0													0	1	7	23	33	26	10	1	0	0

Total:							0	0	1	17	5	2			0	7	19	19	9	8	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0