Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances 2010 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.008 to 69.8%

9-4-0 .692

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	+10.8		+0.7
Lions 7 Packers 3			+0.1
Bears 7 Patriots 36			+0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17			-0.0
Panthers 10 Falcons 31			-0.0
49ers 40 Seahawks 21			+0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13			-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	+10.3+8.6-6.1-9.3-10.2		+0.4+0.3-0.2-0.3-0.4

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Giants vs Eagles	-27.8-21.4+12.1+27.1+27.1		-1.3-1.0+0.6+1.2+1.3
Vikings vs Bears			+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Patriots vs Packers			+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bucs vs Lions			-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.1
Seahawks vs Falcons			+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Ravens vs Saints			+0.0+0.0*-0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Eagles finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

12		3	-	0	-	0	In		22	69	9														124,570
11	.5	2	-	0	-	1	In		3	85	12														1,583
11		2	-	1	-	0	93.0	%	1	38	55		2	5	0	0									374,663
		1	-	0	-	2	80.0			20	60			20											5
10	.5	1	-	1	-	1	74.2			30	45		2	21	3										2,977
10		1	-	2	-	0	56.7			1	55		0	24	17	3									374,276
		0	-	1	-	2	60.0				60			40											5
9	.5	0	-	2	-	1	25.8			0	25			24	38	13									1,557
9		0	-	3	-	0	9.5				9	0		5	41	40	4								124,954

Total:							69.8	%	3	23	44	0	1	12	11	6	1								1,004,590

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	-1.4
Lions 7 Packers 3	-0.1
Bears 7 Patriots 36	-0.1
Panthers 10 Falcons 31	+0.0
Redskins 16 Bucs 17	+0.0
Jets 6 Dolphins 10	+0.0
Steelers 23 Bengals 7	+0.0
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	-0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13	+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	-0.7-0.6+0.3+0.6+0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Giants vs Eagles	+2.4+2.0-1.1-2.4-2.4
Ravens vs Saints	+0.0+0.0+0.2-0.0-0.0
Vikings vs Bears	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Patriots vs Packers	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Bucs vs Lions	+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.1
Seahawks vs Falcons	-0.0-0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0
Colts vs Jaguars	-0.0-0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Rams vs Chiefs	-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0+0.0
Raiders vs Broncos	+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

12		3	-	0	-	0	1	20	37	32	9
11	.5	2	-	0	-	1	0	3	43	42	12
11		2	-	1	-	0		1	4	34	55	0			1	3	2	0	0
		1	-	0	-	2			20		60					20
10	.5	1	-	1	-	1			1	28	36	9			0	7	13	6	1
10		1	-	2	-	0			0	1	37	19			0	2	13	18	9	2	0	0
		0	-	1	-	2					40	20						40
9	.5	0	-	2	-	1				0	5	21				0	5	23	29	14	3	0
9		0	-	3	-	0					1	8	0			0	0	6	24	33	20	6	1	0

Total:							0	3	6	17	35	8	0		0	2	6	8	6	5	3	1	0	0