"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans 28 Colts 30 +18.4
+1.5
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 -9.2
-0.4
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 -0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Jaguars+21.7+21.9-39.2OutOut
+1.2+1.2-1.6-2.5-2.5
Titans vs Texans-0.4*-0.2*-0.5*+0.7+0.8
-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Chargers vs 49ers-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.1+0.1
Raiders vs Broncos-0.0-0.1+0.2+0.1+0.1
Dolphins vs Bills-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1
Rams vs Chiefs+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
Steelers vs Jets+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Bengals vs Browns+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colts finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
103-0-0100.0%04357000197,963
9.52-0-159.1144504251112,071
92-1-058.32561152140474,375
1-0-240.040605
8.51-1-19.80107433643,289
81-2-07.37013294270352,346
0-1-2Out60405
7.50-2-1Out222542011,196
70-3-0Out1177111082,138
Total:45.1%09360171311158101,113,388
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/9100.0*Lottery seed
Titans 28 Colts 30 -2.8
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 +0.8
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 +0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17 +0.0
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)-0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13 -0.0
49ers 40 Seahawks 21 -0.0
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants-0.0-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Lottery seed
Colts vs Jaguars-2.3-2.3+3.4+4.7+4.8
Chargers vs 49ers+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Bills+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rams vs Chiefs-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Bucs vs Lions+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1
Raiders vs Broncos+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Titans vs Texans+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs Bears-0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0+0.0
Giants vs Eagles+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1
Steelers vs Jets-0.0*-0.0*+0.2+0.0+0.0
Cowboys vs Redskins+0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.0-0.0
Bengals vs Browns-0.0-0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
103-0-0007365700000
9.52-0-1014450210151130
92-1-00256001411149200
1-0-240202020
8.51-1-10820212423140
81-2-0610021430388000
0-1-26040
7.50-2-1117452881
70-3-00104131133100
Total:001736000257811136210000