Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 2010

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.002 to 0.003%

4-9-0 .308

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	*Out		-0.0
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13			+0.4
Lions 7 Packers 3			-0.2
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30			+0.1
Redskins 16 Bucs 17			+0.0
Panthers 10 Falcons 31			+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants			-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rams vs Chiefs	OutOutOut*Out+0.0
Panthers vs Cardinals	OutOutOut*+0.0+0.0		-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.3+0.3
Seahawks vs Falcons	OutOutOut+0.0+0.0		-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0
Bucs vs Lions			+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2
Cowboys vs Redskins			+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1
Chargers vs 49ers			+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs Bears			-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Cardinals finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

7		3	-	0	-	0	0.0	%				0					11	43	38	7	0				90,225
6	.5	2	-	0	-	1	Out										7	32	41	18	3	0			1,248
6		2	-	1	-	0	Out											1	8	38	43	9	1		372,088
		1	-	0	-	2	Out													100					1
5	.5	1	-	1	-	1	Out												1	17	52	27	2		3,375
5		1	-	2	-	0	Out													5	16	48	31		468,017
		0	-	1	-	2	Out														12	41	47		17
4	.5	0	-	2	-	1	Out															54	46		2,027
4		0	-	3	-	0	Out															15	85	1	176,390

Total:							0.0	%				0					1	4	6	16	21	26	27	0	1,113,388

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13	-1.3
Lions 7 Packers 3	+0.2
Bills 13 Browns 6	+0.1
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	-0.1
49ers 40 Seahawks 21	+0.0
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	*-0.0
Steelers 23 Bengals 7	-0.0
Redskins 16 Bucs 17	-0.0
Panthers 10 Falcons 31	-0.0
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31	-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants	+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Panthers vs Cardinals	+0.9+0.9-0.0-0.6-0.6
Raiders vs Broncos	+0.0+0.0+0.2-0.2-0.1
Bucs vs Lions	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2
Dolphins vs Bills	-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.1+0.1
Bengals vs Browns	-0.1-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.1
Cowboys vs Redskins	-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1
Seahawks vs Falcons	+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.0-0.0
Titans vs Texans	+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Vikings vs Bears	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0
Chargers vs 49ers	-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
Rams vs Chiefs	+0.0+0.0*+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

7		3	-	0	-	0								0									0	3	10	21	29	24	11	3	0	0
6	.5	2	-	0	-	1																			1	8	24	31	23	10	3	0
6		2	-	1	-	0																			0	0	1	3	10	23	34	25	4	0	0
		1	-	0	-	2																							100
5	.5	1	-	1	-	1																						0	1	8	28	42	19	2	0
5		1	-	2	-	0																							0	2	7	18	39	29	5	0	0
		0	-	1	-	2																										12	47	35	6
4	.5	0	-	2	-	1																											35	46	16	3
4		0	-	3	-	0																											14	40	29	14	2	0

Total:														0									0	0	1	2	3	3	4	9	14	16	20	19	7	2	0	0