Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPI
Patriots11-2-0.84613998.4%+0.0871100201.21New England Patriots
Steelers10-3-0.7699289.0-4.71175302902.3-0.173Pittsburgh Steelers
Jaguars8-5-0.615-3665.8+1.50128370171211305.2+0.0714Jacksonville Jaguars
Chiefs8-5-0.6152761.5+0.10238210315955205.116Kansas City Chiefs
Colts7-6-0.5382933.4+0.401320011214141210207.2+0.0613Indianapolis Colts
Chargers7-6-0.53810127.2-0.11151204211715114107.0-0.0217San Diego Chargers
Raiders6-7-0.462711.3-0.029031216162113619.5+0.1219Oakland Raiders
Ravens9-4-0.6926511.0+4.711000552941005.1+0.554Baltimore Ravens
Jets9-4-0.692311.6-0.0100405162005.6-0.136New York Jets
Titans5-8-0.385260.7+0.0010261721242171011.5+0.0821Tennessee Titans
Texans5-8-0.385-390.0-1.9002617192022112011.7-0.8418Houston Texans
Dolphins7-6-0.538-19Out03312721115108.3+0.057Miami Dolphins
Browns5-8-0.385-17Out1258142930101012.0+0.1312Cleveland Browns
Bills3-10-0.231-83Out01474733814.3+0.0128Buffalo Bills
Broncos3-10-0.231-107Out0251317342914.6+0.0831Denver Broncos
Bengals2-11-0.154-83Out007296315.625Cincinnati Bengals

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/9
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars+8.8
+0.9
Chiefs+5.4
+0.2
Colts-6.6
-0.2
Chargers+2.8
+0.1
Raiders-8.2
-1.2
Titans-1.1
+0.0
Texans-1.1
+0.1
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0
4:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars-0.0
Chiefs-16.9
-1.0
Chargers+10.9
+1.2
Raiders+6.0
+0.1
Dolphins-0.1
Titans 28 Colts 30
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars-2.6
-0.1
Colts+12.0
+1.3
Chargers-0.0
Titans-6.9
-1.2
Texans-2.4
Jets 6 Dolphins 10
4:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Patriots+8.3
+0.3
Chargers-0.1
Raiders-0.1
Ravens+0.1
Jets-8.3
-0.5
Dolphins+0.8
Browns-0.2
Steelers 23 Bengals 7
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Steelers+8.2
+0.5
Ravens-8.2
-0.3
Browns*Out
Bills+0.1
Broncos+0.1
Bengals-0.3
Bears 7 Patriots 36
4:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Patriots+8.2
+0.4
Jets-8.2
-0.3
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)
8:30 PM Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Steelers-4.7
-0.2
Jaguars+1.7
Colts*+0.3
Raiders+0.1
Ravens+4.7
+0.5
Jets-0.1
TexansOut
-0.8
Browns+0.1
Bills 13 Browns 6
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans+0.1
Dolphins+0.2
Browns-0.8
Bills+0.3
Bengals-0.1
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13
4:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans+0.1
Broncos-0.5
Bengals+0.1
Week of 12/16
Colts vs JaguarsIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars31.531.593.6InIn
6.86.83.83.53.5
Colts67.167.06.4OutOut
5.35.38.09.09.0
Chargers7.07.07.26.96.9
Raiders9.69.69.79.49.4
Titans1.51.4OutOutOut
11.511.511.611.511.5
Rams vs ChiefsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaguars5.15.05.05.35.3
Chiefs44.744.279.078.278.4
6.16.24.44.14.1
Colts7.07.17.37.37.3
Chargers38.338.215.316.416.2
6.56.57.57.47.4
Raiders17.017.65.65.45.5
9.29.29.89.89.8
Chargers vs 49ersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:20 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chiefs48.648.875.974.274.4
5.65.64.54.64.6
Colts7.27.27.07.07.1
Chargers42.842.716.111.711.7
5.85.87.68.28.2
Raiders8.68.58.014.113.9
9.89.89.99.29.2
Dolphins8.48.48.28.18.1
Steelers vs JetsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
4:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Patriots100.0100.096.696.796.8
1.21.21.31.21.2
Steelers96.896.982.281.481.1
1.91.92.42.82.8
Ravens3.23.117.818.618.9
5.15.15.05.05.0
Jets0.00.03.43.33.2
6.06.05.45.25.2
Raiders vs BroncosHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
4:15 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chiefs58.057.7*63.964.665.2
5.35.35.04.94.9
Chargers22.623.033.132.331.7
7.37.36.66.76.7
Raiders19.419.33.03.23.1
8.48.49.810.610.6
Texans11.811.811.911.611.6
Dolphins8.38.38.48.28.2
Browns12.012.011.812.012.0
Bills14.114.114.414.514.5
Broncos15.215.214.614.014.0
Bengals15.415.415.715.715.7
Ravens vs SaintsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Steelers81.181.481.196.896.8
2.62.62.62.12.1
Ravens18.918.618.93.23.2
4.64.64.95.55.5
Jets5.75.75.45.55.5
Patriots vs PackersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:20 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Patriots100.0100.097.096.996.8
1.01.01.31.31.3
Jets0.00.03.03.13.2
5.75.75.65.65.6
Titans vs TexansHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts32.7*33.0*35.5*33.734.2
7.27.26.97.17.1
Raiders9.59.59.39.59.5
Titans1.51.4OutOutOut
10.510.511.912.512.5
Texans12.712.811.610.710.7
Browns11.911.911.812.012.0
Broncos14.614.614.814.614.6
Dolphins vs BillsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts7.37.37.27.07.0
Chargers7.17.17.06.96.9
Raiders9.59.59.39.59.5
Dolphins7.77.78.18.88.8
Bills14.714.714.613.913.9
Broncos14.514.514.514.714.7
Bengals vs BrownsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
1:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Raiders9.49.4*9.59.69.6
Titans11.311.311.611.611.6
Texans11.611.6*11.711.811.8
Dolphins8.28.28.18.38.4
Browns12.612.611.811.311.3
Bills14.314.314.514.314.3
Broncos14.714.714.514.514.5
Bengals15.315.315.615.815.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.