San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 2010 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.04 to 18.4%
5-8-0 .385
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| 49ers 40 Seahawks 21 | +6.3 | +1.1 | ||
| Saints 31 Rams 13 | +1.9 | +0.2 | ||
| Cowboys 27 Eagles 30 | +0.1 | |||
| Redskins 16 Bucs 17 | +0.1 | |||
| Cardinals 43 Broncos 13 | -0.1 | |||
| Lions 7 Packers 3 | -0.1 | |||
| Panthers 10 Falcons 31 | +0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||
| Vikings vs Giants | -0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||||
| Week of 12/16 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Chargers vs 49ers | -10.7-10.7-11.3+10.3+10.8 | -1.3-1.3-0.8+1.2+1.3 | ||
| Seahawks vs Falcons | -6.0-6.0-7.0+6.2+6.0 | -0.4-0.4-0.5+0.4+0.4 | ||
| Rams vs Chiefs | -4.5-4.4-4.1+4.3+4.5 | -0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3 | ||
| Panthers vs Cardinals | +0.2*-0.0*+1.3*-0.3-0.2 | +0.1+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Bucs vs Lions | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Vikings vs Bears | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the 49ers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 8 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 87.3 | % | 87 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 124,770 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 30.5 | 30 | 39 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1,440 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 20.2 | 20 | 21 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 374,555 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 42.9 | 43 | 57 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 4 | 20 | 42 | 30 | 3 | 3,028 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 6 | 25 | 46 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 374,036 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 60 | 40 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 20 | 54 | 23 | 3 | 1,487 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 42 | 32 | 25 | 125,262 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 18.4 | % | 18 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1,004,590 | ||||||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 12/9 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| 49ers 40 Seahawks 21 | -2.1 | |
| Saints 31 Rams 13 | -0.3 | |
| Cowboys 27 Eagles 30 | -0.1 | |
| Chargers 31 Chiefs 0 | +0.1 | |
| Redskins 16 Bucs 17 | -0.1 | |
| Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 | -0.1 | |
| Lions 7 Packers 3 | +0.1 | |
| Titans 28 Colts 30 | -0.1 | |
| Bills 13 Browns 6 | -0.1 | |
| Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot) | -0.0 | |
| Panthers 10 Falcons 31 | -0.0 | |
| Cardinals 43 Broncos 13 | +0.0 | |
| Jets 6 Dolphins 10 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||
| Vikings vs Giants | +0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway | ||
| Week of 12/16 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Chargers vs 49ers | +2.6+2.6+1.8-2.6-2.6 | |
| Seahawks vs Falcons | +0.8+0.8+0.9-0.8-0.8 | |
| Rams vs Chiefs | +0.6+0.6+0.6-0.6-0.6 | |
| Raiders vs Broncos | +0.2+0.2+0.6-0.2-0.2 | |
| Titans vs Texans | -0.0*-0.0-0.5-0.0+0.0 | |
| Bucs vs Lions | -0.1-0.0-0.2+0.1+0.1 | |
| Bengals vs Browns | -0.1-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
| Vikings vs Bears | +0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Panthers vs Cardinals | -0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | |
| Colts vs Jaguars | +0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0 | |
| Cowboys vs Redskins | -0.0+0.0*-0.2+0.0+0.0 | |
| Giants vs Eagles | -0.0*+0.1*+0.3*+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
| 8 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 82 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 30 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 14 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 20 | 60 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:37 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
