Penn State Playoff Chances 2012 50/50
Beat Non-Conference 27-14, playoff odds up 0.7 to 16.7%
1-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | +5.1 | +0.7 | ||
| Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | -5.5+5.5 | -0.7+0.7 | ||
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | -0.6+0.7 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | +0.6-0.6 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | +0.6-0.6 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | -0.6+0.6 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | -0.5+0.5 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | +0.5-0.5 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | -0.5+0.5 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | -0.4+0.4 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Penn State finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 99.8 | % | 95 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3,063 | ||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 96.1 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23,168 | ||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 84.9 | 61 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116,190 | ||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 61.8 | 35 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 347,891 | |||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | 33.5 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 695,736 | |||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | 12.3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 974,093 | |||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | 2.7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 974,246 | |||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 697,219 | |||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 34 | 348,444 | |||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 60 | 115,399 | |||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 82 | 23,075 | ||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 95 | 2,952 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 16.7 | % | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4,321,476 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | -0.8 | |
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | +0.1 | |
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | +0.1 | |
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | -0.1 | |
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | -0.1 | |
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | -0.1 | |
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | -0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | +0.1 | |
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | +0.8-0.8 | |
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | -0.1+0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 99 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 98 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 58 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 31 | |||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | ||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 4 | 96 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:24 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
