How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 +2.2
+0.4
Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 +0.2
Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 +0.2
Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 -0.2
Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 +0.2
Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 -0.2
Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 -0.2
Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 -0.2
Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 +0.2
Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 -0.2
Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Non-Conference vs Penn State-4.4+1.7
-0.6+0.2
Minnesota vs Non-Conference-0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Purdue+0.6-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Iowa vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Nebraska+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Non-Conference vs Michigan State+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Michigan vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.1
Ohio State vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.4
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Illinois+0.2-0.1
Northwestern vs Non-Conference-0.1+0.2
Non-Conference vs Wisconsin+0.1-0.1
Non-Conference vs Indiana+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Penn State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
1211-065.8%36291473110002546,651
1110-152.52626171064210025338,095
109-239.819211712964311251,155,546
98-328.1131515131197532252,346,254
87-418.6810121211119864453,132,162
76-511.966891011111098662,886,021
65-68.1535689101112121091,870,260
54-76.542235791113151513854,347
43-86.15212346913172118269,547
32-96.6520112461118262555,807
21-107.56200011381530336,857
10-111.01000001831592,881
Total:19.1%91010109988766712,964,428
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 -0.7
Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 +0.1
Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 +0.1
Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 -0.1
Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 -0.1
Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 -0.1
Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 -0.1
Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 +0.1
Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 +0.1
Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Non-Conference vs Penn State+1.1-0.4
Non-Conference vs Michigan State-0.1+0.0
Michigan vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Non-Conference vs Nebraska-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Purdue-0.1+0.0
Iowa vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Ohio State vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Non-Conference vs Illinois-0.1+0.0

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L12345678910111213
1211-024750
1110-1128350
109-236727400
98-302340278100
87-4021126312181000
76-5002921302411200
65-60000161830281430
54-700000152036298
43-80002134243
32-90011881
21-100397
10-11100
Total:113121211109876532