Penn State Playoff Chances 2012Beat Non-Conference 27-14, playoff odds up 3.6 to 19.1% 1-0 1.000 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | +2.2 | | +0.4 | | Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | +0.2 | | | | Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | +0.2 | | | | Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | -0.2 | | | | Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | +0.2 | | | | Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | | | | Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | -0.2 | | | | Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | | | | Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | +0.2 | | | | Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | -0.2 | | | | Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeAway | Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Non-Conference vs Penn State | -4.4+1.7 | | -0.6+0.2 | | Minnesota vs Non-Conference | -0.3+0.7 | | -0.0+0.1 | | Non-Conference vs Purdue | +0.6-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0 | | Iowa vs Non-Conference | -0.2+0.6 | | -0.0+0.1 | | Non-Conference vs Nebraska | +0.5-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0 | | Non-Conference vs Michigan State | +0.5-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0 | | Michigan vs Non-Conference | -0.2+0.5 | | -0.0+0.1 | | Ohio State vs Non-Conference | -0.2+0.4 | | -0.0+0.1 | | Non-Conference vs Illinois | +0.2-0.1 | | | | Northwestern vs Non-Conference | -0.1+0.2 | | | | Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | +0.1-0.1 | | | | Non-Conference vs Indiana | +0.1-0.1 | | | |
What IfChances based on how well the Penn State finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 0 | 65.8 | % | 36 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 46,651 | | 11 | | 10 | - | 1 | 52.5 | | 26 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 338,095 | | 10 | | 9 | - | 2 | 39.8 | | 19 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1,155,546 | | 9 | | 8 | - | 3 | 28.1 | | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2,346,254 | | 8 | | 7 | - | 4 | 18.6 | | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3,132,162 | | 7 | | 6 | - | 5 | 11.9 | | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2,886,021 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 6 | 8.1 | | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 1,870,260 | | 5 | | 4 | - | 7 | 6.5 | | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 854,347 | | 4 | | 3 | - | 8 | 6.1 | | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 269,547 | | 3 | | 2 | - | 9 | 6.6 | | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 55,807 | | 2 | | 1 | - | 10 | 7.5 | | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 33 | 6,857 | | 1 | | 0 | - | 11 | 1.0 | | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 59 | 2,881 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 19.1 | % | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12,964,428 | |
Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesWeek of 8/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | -0.7 | | Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | +0.1 | | Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | | Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | +0.1 | | Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | -0.1 | | Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | -0.1 | | Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | -0.1 | | Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | -0.1 | | Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | +0.1 | | Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | | Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | +0.1 | | Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeAway | Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Non-Conference vs Penn State | +1.1-0.4 | | Non-Conference vs Michigan State | -0.1+0.0 | | Michigan vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | | Minnesota vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | | Non-Conference vs Nebraska | -0.1+0.0 | | Non-Conference vs Purdue | -0.1+0.0 | | Iowa vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | | Ohio State vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | | Non-Conference vs Illinois | -0.1+0.0 | |
What IfNone | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | | 11 | - | 0 | 24 | 75 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 10 | - | 1 | 12 | 83 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | 9 | - | 2 | 3 | 67 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 9 | | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 23 | 40 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 8 | | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 7 | | 6 | - | 5 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 6 | | 5 | - | 6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5 | | 4 | - | 7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 8 | 4 | | 3 | - | 8 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 43 | 3 | | 2 | - | 9 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 2 | | 1 | - | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 1 | | 0 | - | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
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