Northwestern Playoff Chances 2012 50/50
Lost to Non-Conference 28-38, playoff odds down 2.4 to 13.7%
0-1 .000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | -5.2 | -0.7 | ||
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | -0.5 | -0.1 | ||
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | -0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | +4.8-4.8 | +0.7-0.7 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | +0.5-0.5 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | -0.5+0.5 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | -0.5+0.5 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | -0.5+0.5 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | +0.5-0.5 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | -0.4+0.4 | -0.1+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | +0.4-0.4 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | +0.3-0.3 | +0.1-0.1 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Northwestern finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 11 | 11 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | 94 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2,970 | |||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 1 | 94.4 | 78 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23,393 | |||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 2 | 80.0 | 54 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115,581 | |||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 3 | 54.2 | 29 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 347,213 | |||
| 7 | 7 | - | 4 | 26.7 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 696,467 | |||
| 6 | 6 | - | 5 | 8.6 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 974,330 | |||
| 5 | 5 | - | 6 | 1.7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 975,846 | |||
| 4 | 4 | - | 7 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 695,749 | |||
| 3 | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | 41 | 347,273 | |||
| 2 | 2 | - | 9 | Out | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 67 | 116,491 | |||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 86 | 23,199 | |||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 2,964 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 13.7 | % | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 4,321,476 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | +0.8 | |
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | -0.1 | |
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | +0.1 | |
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | -0.1 | |
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | +0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | +0.1 | |
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | -0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | -0.8+0.8 | |
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | - | 0 | 0 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 1 | 0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 64 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 3 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 5 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 41 | 28 | ||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | |||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 6 | 94 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 10 | 1 | 99 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 11 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:24 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
