Northwestern Playoff Chances 2012
Lost to Non-Conference 28-38, playoff odds down 5.6 to 9.5%
0-1 .000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | -2.4 | -0.4 | ||
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | +0.2 | |||
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | +0.2 | |||
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | -0.2 | |||
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | +0.2 | |||
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | |||
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | |||
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | |||
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | -0.1 | |||
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | -0.1 | |||
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | +0.9-1.5 | +0.3-0.5 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | +0.2-0.1 | |||
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | -0.1+0.2 | |||
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | -0.1+0.2 | -0.0+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | +0.2-0.1 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | +0.2-0.1 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | +0.2-0.1 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | -0.1+0.2 | -0.0+0.1 | ||
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | -0.1+0.2 | |||
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | +0.1-0.0 | |||
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | +0.1-0.0 | |||
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | +0.1-0.0 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
What If
Chances based on how well the Northwestern finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 11 | 11 | - | 0 | 76.8 | % | 49 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5,047 | |||
| 10 | 10 | - | 1 | 45.5 | 22 | 24 | 17 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 34,879 | |||
| 9 | 9 | - | 2 | 33.1 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 208,854 | |||
| 8 | 8 | - | 3 | 22.5 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 740,891 | |||
| 7 | 7 | - | 4 | 14.4 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 1,722,735 | |||
| 6 | 6 | - | 5 | 9.3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 2,760,668 | |||
| 5 | 5 | - | 6 | 6.7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 3,110,670 | |||
| 4 | 4 | - | 7 | 5.8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 2,460,263 | |||
| 3 | 3 | - | 8 | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 1,334,980 | |||
| 2 | 2 | - | 9 | 6.5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 30 | 474,201 | |||
| 1 | 1 | - | 10 | 7.2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 37 | 99,448 | |||
| 0 | 0 | - | 11 | 6.1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 31 | 48 | 11,792 | |||
| Total: | 9.5 | % | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12,964,428 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | +0.8 | |
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | -0.1 | |
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | +0.1 | |
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | -0.1 | |
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | -0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | +0.1 | |
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | +0.1 | |
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | +0.1 | |
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | -0.5+0.8 | |
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | -0.1+0.1 | |
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | -0.1+0.0 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | - | 0 | 16 | 82 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 10 | - | 1 | 4 | 74 | 20 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||
| 9 | 9 | - | 2 | 0 | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 8 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 6 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | ||
| 5 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 7 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 39 | ||||||
| 3 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | ||||||||
| 2 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 1 | 99 | |||||||||||
| 0 | 0 | - | 11 | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 21 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:24 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
