How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 +0.4
Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 -0.4
Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 +0.4
Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 -0.4
Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 -0.4
Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 +0.4
Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 +0.4
Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 -0.4
Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 -0.4
Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 -0.3
Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 -0.3
Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Non-Conference+2.1-5.4
+0.2-0.6
Non-Conference vs Purdue+0.7-0.3
+0.1-0.0
Iowa vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Penn State+0.6-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Non-Conference vs Nebraska+0.6-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Non-Conference vs Michigan State+0.6-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Michigan vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.1
Ohio State vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Wisconsin+0.2-0.1
Non-Conference vs Illinois+0.2-0.1
Northwestern vs Non-Conference-0.1+0.2
Non-Conference vs Indiana+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
1211-074.5%44311241000002538,224
1110-162.6342815842100025285,551
109-250.525251711742111251,029,500
98-337.818201613975321242,195,931
87-426.4121414131197643243,071,900
76-517.4891111111110875452,968,215
65-611.4657810101111109762,015,780
54-78.053457910121213119962,976
43-86.852234681113161713316,675
32-96.7521123681218221968,034
21-107.862001236101727278,664
10-111.510000012730572,978
Total:24.8%1213121110987655512,964,428
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 -0.8
Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 -0.1
Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 -0.1
Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 +0.1
Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 -0.1
Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 -0.1
Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 +0.1
Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 +0.1
Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Non-Conference-0.4+1.1
Non-Conference vs Penn State-0.1+0.0
Ohio State vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Non-Conference vs Nebraska-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Michigan State-0.1+0.0
Iowa vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Michigan vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Non-Conference vs Purdue-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Indiana-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Illinois-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Wisconsin-0.1+0.0

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L12345678910111213
1211-025750
1110-11284400
109-236826300
98-302441268100
87-402112632217100
76-50029223024112000
65-60000161931281330
54-700000162236287
43-800002154340
32-90022178
21-100595
10-110100
Total:1121211111010986542