"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 +2.3
+0.4
Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 +0.3
Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 +0.3
Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 +0.3
Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 -0.3
Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 +0.3
Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 -0.3
Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 -0.3
Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 -0.3
Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 -0.3
Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Non-Conference vs Michigan State-4.4+1.7
-0.6+0.2
Non-Conference vs Purdue+0.6-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.1
Iowa vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Nebraska+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Non-Conference vs Penn State+0.5-0.2
+0.1-0.0
Michigan vs Non-Conference-0.2+0.5
-0.0+0.1
Ohio State vs Non-Conference-0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.1
Non-Conference vs Illinois+0.2-0.1
Non-Conference vs Wisconsin+0.1-0.1
Non-Conference vs Indiana+0.1-0.1
Northwestern vs Non-Conference-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Michigan State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
1211-067.5%38291463100002538,807
1110-153.82726171063210025288,064
109-241.320221712964211251,036,364
98-329.3131615131197532252,201,444
87-419.5911121211109864353,072,227
76-512.566891011111098662,963,615
65-68.5545689111112111082,011,010
54-76.652245791113151512958,527
43-86.25212347913172117314,811
32-96.7520112471118262467,949
21-106.95200012481730318,664
10-111.41000001731592,946
Total:19.1%91010109998776712,964,428
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 -0.8
Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 -0.1
Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 -0.1
Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 +0.1
Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 -0.1
Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 -0.1
Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 +0.1
Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 +0.1
Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 9/8100.0*Lottery seed
Non-Conference vs Michigan State+1.1-0.4
Non-Conference vs Purdue-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Penn State-0.1+0.0
Michigan vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Ohio State vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Iowa vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1
Non-Conference vs Nebraska-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Illinois-0.1+0.0
Non-Conference vs Indiana-0.1+0.0
Northwestern vs Non-Conference+0.0-0.1

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L12345678910111213
1211-024760
1110-11284400
109-236826300
98-302441268100
87-402112632217100
76-5002922302411200
65-60000161831281330
54-700000162236287
43-80002154240
32-90022078
21-100595
10-11199
Total:1121211111010986542