Michigan Playoff Chances 2012
Beat Non-Conference 28-14, playoff odds up 2.9 to 18%
1-0 1.000
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | +2.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | +0.2 | |||
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | +0.2 | |||
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | +0.2 | |||
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | -0.2 | |||
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | -0.2 | |||
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | +0.2 | |||
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | -0.2 | |||
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | -0.2 | |||
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | -0.1 | |||
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | +1.6-4.1 | +0.2-0.6 | ||
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | -0.2+0.6 | -0.0+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | +0.5-0.2 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | -0.2+0.5 | -0.0+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | +0.5-0.2 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | +0.5-0.2 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | +0.5-0.2 | +0.1-0.0 | ||
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | -0.2+0.4 | -0.0+0.1 | ||
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | +0.2-0.1 | |||
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | +0.1-0.1 | |||
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | -0.1+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Michigan finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 67.4 | % | 39 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 31,780 | ||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 53.4 | 27 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 245,196 | |||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 40.5 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 922,421 | |||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 28.6 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2,052,960 | |||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | 19.0 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3,005,647 | |||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | 12.1 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3,028,593 | |||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | 8.2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 2,147,041 | |||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | 6.5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 1,069,947 | |||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | 6.2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 365,153 | |||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | 6.6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 26 | 24 | 81,573 | |||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 32 | 10,985 | |||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | 1.7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 57 | 3,132 | |||||||
| Total: | 18.0 | % | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 12,964,428 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/30 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Michigan 28 Non-Conference 14 | -0.7 | |
| Indiana 14 Non-Conference 42 | -0.1 | |
| Wisconsin 17 Non-Conference 27 | -0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 38 Northwestern 28 | -0.1 | |
| Penn State 27 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Illinois 17 Non-Conference 28 | -0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 0 Minnesota 45 | +0.1 | |
| Michigan State 37 Non-Conference 20 | +0.1 | |
| Nebraska 38 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Ohio State 21 Non-Conference 17 | +0.1 | |
| Purdue 55 Non-Conference 14 | +0.1 | |
| Non-Conference 10 Iowa 45 | +0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Michigan vs Non-Conference | -0.4+1.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Penn State | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Ohio State vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Purdue | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Minnesota vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Nebraska | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Iowa vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
| Non-Conference vs Michigan State | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Non-Conference vs Indiana | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Non-Conference vs Wisconsin | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Non-Conference vs Illinois | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Northwestern vs Non-Conference | +0.0-0.1 | |
What If
None
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | - | 0 | 25 | 75 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 1 | 12 | 84 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 2 | 3 | 70 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 6 | 5 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | ||
| 5 | 4 | - | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 7 | |||
| 4 | 3 | - | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 36 | ||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | |||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 7 | 93 | |||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 11 | 1 | 99 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:24 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
