SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Washington Wizards Playoff Chances 2040 50/50

Beat Knicks 111-105, Lost to Pacers 75-90, Lost to Rockets 100-110, Beat Spurs 118-108, playoff odds down 0.7 to 71.2%

35-34 .507

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Knicks 105 Wizards 111	+7.3		+0.5
Pacers 90 Wizards 75	-7.1		-0.4
Rockets 110 Wizards 100	-7.1		-0.4
Wizards 118 Spurs 108	+7.0		+0.4
Bucks 109 Lakers 89	-2.0		-0.1
Bucks 103 Jazz 120	+1.9		+0.1
Timberwolves 124 Bucks 98	+1.8		+0.1
Bucks 106 Nets 78	-1.8		-0.1
Lakers 120 Hornets 112	+1.6		+0.1
Nuggets 95 Raptors 99	-1.5		-0.1
Raptors 124 Suns 109	-1.5		-0.1
Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82	-1.4		-0.1
Rockets 116 Pistons 92	+1.4		+0.1
Raptors 84 Pacers 129	+1.3		+0.1
Raptors 93 Lakers 91	-1.3		-0.1
Pistons 122 Nets 83	-1.3		-0.1
Pistons 114 Jazz 104	-1.3		-0.1
Hornets 118 Cavaliers 108	-1.2		-0.1
Cavaliers 116 Hornets 112	+1.2		+0.1
Pistons 88 76ers 94	+1.2
Hornets 134 Cavaliers 115	-1.2		-0.1
Bulls 125 Magic 90	+1.0		+0.1
Pacers 89 Magic 111	-1.0		-0.1
Thunder 120 Magic 107	+0.9		+0.1
Pistons 123 Magic 77	-0.6

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nets vs Wizards	-8.2+8.2		-0.4+0.4
Jazz vs Wizards	-8.1+8.1		-0.4+0.4
Lakers vs Wizards	-8.1+8.1		-0.4+0.4
Hawks vs Wizards	-8.1+8.1		-0.4+0.4
Hawks vs Bucks	+2.2-2.2		+0.1-0.1
Hornets vs Bulls	-2.2+2.2		-0.1+0.1
Magic vs Hawks	-2.0+2.0		-0.1+0.1
Magic vs Timberwolves	-2.0+2.0		-0.1+0.1
Nets vs Hornets	+2.0-2.0		+0.1-0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks	-1.9+1.9		-0.1+0.1
76ers vs Bucks	+1.9-1.9		+0.1-0.1
Timberwolves vs Pistons	+1.7-1.7		+0.1-0.1
Kings vs Pistons	+1.5-1.5		+0.1-0.1
Magic vs Raptors	-1.5+1.5
Clippers vs Pistons	+1.4-1.4		+0.1-0.1
Pistons vs Raptors	-1.1+1.1
Pistons vs Hornets	+0.8-0.8
Celtics vs Raptors	+0.6-0.6		+0.1-0.1
Raptors vs Pacers	-0.6+0.6		-0.1+0.1
Rockets vs Raptors	+0.5-0.5		+0.1-0.1
Knicks vs Nets			-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Wizards finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

48		13	-	0	In				88	12												26
47		12	-	1	In				82	18	0											261
46		11	-	2	In				47	49	4	0										1,591
45		10	-	3	In				18	58	22	2	0									5,975
44		9	-	4	In				3	35	45	15	1	0								14,577
43		8	-	5	99.9	%			0	9	37	39	13	2	0							26,265
42		7	-	6	97.0					1	11	33	36	16	3	0						35,379
41		6	-	7	75.6					0	1	10	29	36	21	3						35,310
40		5	-	8	33.5						0	1	7	25	43	23	0					26,229
39		4	-	9	6.4							0	1	6	34	59	1					14,555
38		3	-	10	0.7								0	1	12	79	8	0				5,832
37		2	-	11	Out										2	64	32	3				1,548
36		1	-	12	Out											28	56	16				254
35		0	-	13	Out											6	59	34				32

Total:					71.2	%			1	7	13	17	17	16	15	13	1	0				167,834

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Knicks 105 Wizards 111	-0.8
Rockets 110 Wizards 100	+0.7
Wizards 118 Spurs 108	-0.7
Pacers 90 Wizards 75	+0.7
Pacers 89 Magic 111	+0.1
Bulls 125 Magic 90	-0.1
Lakers 120 Hornets 112	-0.1
Thunder 120 Magic 107	-0.1
Raptors 124 Suns 109	+0.1
Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82	+0.1
Bucks 109 Lakers 89	+0.1
Nuggets 95 Raptors 99	+0.1
Hornets 118 Cavaliers 108	+0.1
Hornets 134 Cavaliers 115	+0.1
Raptors 84 Pacers 129	-0.1
Bucks 106 Nets 78	+0.1
Cavaliers 116 Hornets 112	-0.1
Rockets 116 Pistons 92	-0.1
Pistons 122 Nets 83	+0.1
Bucks 103 Jazz 120	-0.1
Raptors 93 Lakers 91	+0.1
Pistons 114 Jazz 104	+0.1
Timberwolves 124 Bucks 98	-0.1
Knicks 107 Grizzlies 135	-0.1
Knicks 101 Celtics 83	+0.1
Pistons 88 76ers 94	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nets vs Wizards	+0.7-0.7
Lakers vs Wizards	+0.7-0.7
Jazz vs Wizards	+0.7-0.7
Hawks vs Wizards	+0.7-0.7
Magic vs Hawks	+0.1-0.1
Hawks vs Bucks	-0.1+0.1
Hornets vs Bulls	+0.1-0.1
Magic vs Timberwolves	+0.1-0.1
Nets vs Hornets	-0.1+0.1
Kings vs Pistons	-0.1+0.1
Clippers vs Pistons	-0.1+0.1
Celtics vs Raptors	-0.1+0.1
Timberwolves vs Pistons	-0.1+0.1
Raptors vs Pacers	+0.1-0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks	+0.1-0.1
Rockets vs Raptors	-0.1+0.1
Knicks vs Nets	+0.1-0.1
76ers vs Bucks	-0.1+0.1
Knicks vs Mavericks	+0.1-0.1
76ers vs Knicks	-0.1+0.1

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29

48		13	-	0						88		12
47		12	-	1						82		18	0
46		11	-	2						47	0	49	2	2	0
45		10	-	3						18		58	5	17	2	0	0
44		9	-	4						3		35	2	43	10	4	1		0
43		8	-	5						0		9	0	37	17	22	13	0	2		0
42		7	-	6								1	0	11	6	27	36	0	16		3	0
41		6	-	7								0		1	1	10	28	0	36	0	21	4
40		5	-	8										0	0	1	7	1	25	0	43	24	0
39		4	-	9												0	0	0	6	0	33	59	1
38		3	-	10													0	0	1	0	11	78	10	0
37		2	-	11																	1	51	40	7	0
36		1	-	12																		11	43	30	11	4
35		0	-	13																			16	25	28	31

Total:										1	0	7	0	13	5	12	17	0	16	0	15	13	1	0	0	0