How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockets 122 Trailblazers 105 -6.9
-0.3
Trailblazers 96 Suns 105 -4.1
-0.2
Trailblazers 116 Suns 137 -4.1
-0.2
Trailblazers 107 Hawks 109 -4.0
-0.2
Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82 -3.8
-0.2
Spurs 95 Warriors 84 -2.3
-0.1
Rockets 114 Lakers 96 -2.1
-0.1
Bucks 103 Jazz 120 -1.7
Rockets 116 Pistons 92 -1.6
-0.1
Mavericks 119 Rockets 92 +1.5
Wizards 118 Spurs 108 +1.2
+0.0
Suns 94 Clippers 110 -1.2
-0.1
Rockets 110 Wizards 100 -1.1
-0.0
Pistons 114 Jazz 104 +0.8
+0.0
Celtics 122 Spurs 86 +0.7
+0.0
Clippers 105 Pacers 96 -0.4
-0.1
Grizzlies 129 Jazz 124 *+0.3
Bulls 91 Mavericks 94 -0.1
Heat 112 Mavericks 90 +0.0
Mavericks 92 76ers 99 +0.0
Timberwolves 98 Mavericks 95 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Suns vs Trailblazers-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.4
Kings vs Trailblazers-0.3+0.3
Trailblazers vs Mavericks+0.2-0.5
Bucks vs Mavericks+0.0-0.1
Jazz vs Thunder+0.1-0.1
Thunder vs Rockets-0.1+0.1
Knicks vs Mavericks+0.0-0.1
Mavericks vs Grizzlies-0.1+0.0
Thunder vs Nets-0.1+0.1
Clippers vs Pistons-0.1+0.0
Hawks vs Clippers+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Trailblazers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
345-01.6%012358182,709
334-10.00444492020,407
323-2Out0146718153,547
312-3Out1384911062,705
301-4Out54644533,962
290-5Out1562236,547
Total:0.0%001104032152179,877
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockets 122 Trailblazers 105 +0.7
Trailblazers 96 Suns 105 +0.5
Trailblazers 116 Suns 137 +0.5
Trailblazers 107 Hawks 109 +0.5
Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82 +0.5
Suns 94 Clippers 110 +0.2
Spurs 95 Warriors 84 +0.2
Rockets 114 Lakers 96 +0.1
Bucks 103 Jazz 120 +0.1
Rockets 116 Pistons 92 +0.1
Warriors 95 Bulls 107 +0.1
Wizards 118 Spurs 108 -0.1
Celtics 104 Nets 116 +0.1
Bulls 125 Magic 90 +0.1
Bulls 124 Hawks 99 +0.1
Rockets 110 Wizards 100 +0.1
Mavericks 119 Rockets 92 -0.1
Cavaliers 116 Hornets 112 +0.1
Cavaliers 110 Timberwolves 113 -0.1
Clippers 105 Pacers 96 +0.1
Pistons 114 Jazz 104 -0.0
Celtics 122 Spurs 86 -0.0
Mavericks 92 76ers 99 -0.0
Timberwolves 98 Mavericks 95 -0.0
Hornets 118 Cavaliers 108 -0.0
Bucks 106 Nets 78 -0.0
Pistons 122 Nets 83 -0.0
Grizzlies 129 Jazz 124 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Trailblazers vs Mavericks-0.4+1.0
Kings vs Trailblazers+0.5-0.6
Suns vs Trailblazers+0.2-0.8
Rockets vs Heat-0.1+0.1
Heat vs 76ers+0.1-0.1
Heat vs Warriors+0.1-0.1
Heat vs Rockets+0.1-0.1
76ers vs Heat-0.0+0.2
Knicks vs Nets-0.0+0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks-0.0+0.1
Nets vs Wizards+0.1-0.1
Mavericks vs Grizzlies+0.1-0.0
Knicks vs Mavericks-0.0+0.1
Thunder vs Rockets+0.1-0.1
Raptors vs Pacers-0.0+0.1
Jazz vs Thunder-0.0+0.1
Nets vs Hornets+0.1-0.1
Bulls vs Nets-0.0+0.1
Clippers vs Pistons+0.1-0.0
Hawks vs Clippers-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829
345-001114433460
334-1001134537400
323-2011352276100
312-30116353213300
301-40725372471
290-5031841326
Total:000021025221813720