How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Thunder 120 Magic 107 -4.4
-0.4
Bulls 125 Magic 90 -3.5
-0.3
Pacers 89 Magic 111 +3.2
+0.3
Pistons 123 Magic 77 -2.8
-0.3
Bucks 109 Lakers 89 -1.3
Bucks 103 Jazz 120 +1.2
Nuggets 95 Raptors 99 -1.2
-0.1
Raptors 84 Pacers 129 +1.2
+0.1
Knicks 105 Wizards 111 -1.1
Raptors 93 Lakers 91 -0.9
-0.1
Cavaliers 116 Hornets 112 +0.9
+0.1
Pacers 90 Wizards 75 +0.8
+0.1
Timberwolves 124 Bucks 98 +0.8
Raptors 124 Suns 109 -0.7
Rockets 110 Wizards 100 +0.6
+0.0
Bucks 106 Nets 78 -0.6
Wizards 118 Spurs 108 -0.6
-0.0
Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82 -0.5
-0.0
Hornets 118 Cavaliers 108 -0.5
-0.0
Hornets 134 Cavaliers 115 -0.5
-0.0
Lakers 120 Hornets 112 +0.3
+0.0
Pistons 114 Jazz 104 *-0.2
-0.0
Pistons 122 Nets 83 *-0.2
-0.0
Pistons 88 76ers 94 +0.1
Rockets 116 Pistons 92 +0.1
Knicks 107 Grizzlies 135 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Magic vs Raptors+9.1-12.9
+0.5-0.6
Magic vs Timberwolves+7.0-10.8
+0.3-0.5
Magic vs Hawks+9.1-7.2
+0.4-0.4
76ers vs Bucks+1.7-3.8
+0.0-0.1
Hawks vs Bucks+1.4-4.0
+0.0-0.1
Hornets vs Bulls-1.9+3.3
-0.1+0.1
Nets vs Hornets+2.7-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Pistons vs Hornets+1.6-3.2
Hawks vs Wizards+1.1-3.6
+0.0-0.1
Nets vs Wizards+2.3-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks-1.1+3.3
-0.0+0.1
Jazz vs Wizards+1.7-2.5
+0.1-0.1
Lakers vs Wizards+0.9-3.2
+0.0-0.1
Rockets vs Raptors+0.9-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Celtics vs Raptors+0.5-1.2
+0.0-0.1
Pistons vs Raptors+0.5-1.0
Raptors vs Pacers-0.4+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Kings vs Pistons+0.1-0.0
Clippers vs Pistons+0.1-0.0
Timberwolves vs Pistons+0.1-0.1
Knicks vs Mavericks-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Magic finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
458-0In27224201,070
447-1In0304919207,722
436-299.9%053443162024,820
425-398.2083540152045,463
414-486.2010373913149,285
403-553.20112413710033,793
392-616.51154637014,058
381-72.402257123,345
370-8Out78391321
Total:78.5%03918252415700179,877
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Thunder 120 Magic 107 +0.7
Bulls 125 Magic 90 +0.6
Pistons 123 Magic 77 +0.5
Pacers 89 Magic 111 -0.5
Nuggets 95 Raptors 99 +0.1
Raptors 84 Pacers 129 -0.1
Cavaliers 116 Hornets 112 -0.1
Pistons 88 76ers 94 -0.1
Rockets 116 Pistons 92 -0.1
Pacers 90 Wizards 75 -0.1
Raptors 93 Lakers 91 +0.1
Raptors 124 Suns 109 +0.1
Rockets 110 Wizards 100 -0.1
Bucks 109 Lakers 89 +0.1
Bucks 103 Jazz 120 -0.1
Hornets 118 Cavaliers 108 +0.1
Pistons 114 Jazz 104 +0.1
Hornets 134 Cavaliers 115 +0.1
Wizards 118 Spurs 108 +0.1
Knicks 101 Celtics 83 +0.1
Pistons 122 Nets 83 +0.1
Lakers 120 Hornets 112 -0.1
Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82 +0.1
Timberwolves 124 Bucks 98 -0.0
Knicks 107 Grizzlies 135 -0.0
Bucks 106 Nets 78 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Magic vs Raptors-0.8+1.1
Magic vs Timberwolves-0.6+0.9
Magic vs Hawks-0.8+0.6
Hawks vs Wizards-0.1+0.3
Nets vs Wizards-0.2+0.2
Hornets vs Bulls+0.1-0.2
Nets vs Hornets-0.2+0.1
Jazz vs Wizards-0.1+0.2
Lakers vs Wizards-0.1+0.2
Rockets vs Raptors-0.1+0.1
Celtics vs Raptors-0.1+0.2
Raptors vs Pacers+0.1-0.2
Hawks vs Bucks-0.1+0.2
76ers vs Bucks-0.1+0.2
Kings vs Pistons-0.1+0.1
Clippers vs Pistons-0.1+0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks+0.0-0.1
Timberwolves vs Pistons-0.1+0.1
Pistons vs Hornets-0.0+0.1
Knicks vs Mavericks+0.0-0.1
Knicks vs Nets+0.0-0.1
Pistons vs Raptors-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829
458-027202320
447-103004818120
436-205343571620
425-30820154001520
414-403737039131
403-5001110413890
392-61015047360
381-702025712
370-8783101
Total:030912725024015600