Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Sacramento Kings Playoff Chances 2040

Beat Lakers 113-105, Beat Nets 98-85, Beat Thunder 122-114, Lost to Timberwolves 104-106, Lost to Warriors 110-111, playoff odds down 0.004 to 0.0006%

25-47 .347

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kings 113 Lakers 105			+0.1
Nets 85 Kings 98			+0.1
Timberwolves 106 Kings 104	*Out		-0.0
Warriors 111 Kings 110	*Out		-0.0
Thunder 114 Kings 122			+0.1
Bulls 91 Mavericks 94			-0.1
Heat 112 Mavericks 90			+0.0
Timberwolves 98 Mavericks 95			+0.0

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kings vs Trailblazers			+0.2-0.2
Clippers vs Kings			-0.1+0.2
Kings vs Pistons			+0.2-0.1
Thunder vs Rockets			-0.1+0.1
Thunder vs Nets			-0.1+0.1
Jazz vs Thunder			+0.0-0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks			+0.0-0.1
Knicks vs Mavericks			+0.0-0.1
Mavericks vs Grizzlies			-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

35	10	-	0	6.7	%								7	27	53	13					15
34	9	-	1	Out										3	61	36					36
33	8	-	2	Out										1	30	63	6				375
32	7	-	3	Out											7	57	32	3	0		2,334
31	6	-	4	Out											0	22	49	25	3		9,171
30	5	-	5	Out											0	3	28	49	20		24,550
29	4	-	6	Out												0	7	41	53		42,269
28	3	-	7	Out													1	18	82		48,744
27	2	-	8	Out													0	4	96		35,314
26	1	-	9	Out														0	100		14,545
25	0	-	10	Out															100		2,524

Total:				0.0	%								0	0	0	2	9	23	66		179,877

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings 113 Lakers 105	-0.3
Thunder 114 Kings 122	-0.3
Nets 85 Kings 98	-0.2
Timberwolves 106 Kings 104	+0.1
Warriors 111 Kings 110	+0.1
Raptors 84 Pacers 129	+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings vs Pistons	-0.5+0.3
Clippers vs Kings	+0.3-0.4
Kings vs Trailblazers	-0.3+0.4
Thunder vs Rockets	+0.1-0.1
Jazz vs Thunder	-0.1+0.1
Cavaliers vs Pacers	-0.1+0.1
Pacers vs Cavaliers	+0.1-0.1
Raptors vs Pacers	-0.0+0.1
Cavaliers vs Pacers	-0.0+0.1
Bucks vs Mavericks	-0.0+0.1
Nets vs Wizards	+0.1-0.1
Knicks vs Mavericks	-0.0+0.1
Knicks vs Nets	-0.0+0.1
Bulls vs Nets	-0.0+0.1
Nets vs Hornets	+0.1-0.0
Mavericks vs Grizzlies	+0.1-0.0

What If

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29

35	10	-	0																7			13	20	40	20
34	9	-	1																				3	39	36	22
33	8	-	2																					5	33	49	11	2
32	7	-	3																					0	5	34	37	19	4	0	0
31	6	-	4																						0	7	21	34	26	11	2	0
30	5	-	5																						0	0	3	12	27	31	21	6
29	4	-	6																								0	1	7	21	38	34
28	3	-	7																									0	0	4	23	73
27	2	-	8																											0	5	95
26	1	-	9																												0	100
25	0	-	10																													100

Total:																			0			0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	11	19	57