How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

 Sunday 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Suns 94 Clippers 110 +6.3 +0.5 Clippers 105 Pacers 96 +2.4 +0.2 Rockets 114 Lakers 96 -1.4 -0.1 Spurs 95 Warriors 84 -1.2 Mavericks 119 Rockets 92 +1.1 Rockets 116 Pistons 92 -1.1 -0.1 Rockets 110 Wizards 100 -0.8 -0.0 Bucks 103 Jazz 120 -0.7 Wizards 118 Spurs 108 +0.6 +0.0 Trailblazers 116 Suns 137 +0.4 +0.1 Trailblazers 96 Suns 105 +0.4 +0.1 Trailblazers 107 Hawks 109 +0.4 +0.0 Rockets 122 Trailblazers 105 -0.3 Celtics 122 Spurs 86 +0.3 +0.0 Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82 +0.3 +0.0 Pistons 114 Jazz 104 +0.3 Grizzlies 129 Jazz 124 *+0.1 Thunder 120 Magic 107 -0.1 Thunder 114 Kings 122 +0.1 Bulls 91 Mavericks 94 -0.1 Mavericks 92 76ers 99 +0.0 Timberwolves 98 Mavericks 95 +0.0 If winner is:HomeAway Tuesday 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Hawks vs Clippers -1.9+9.0 -0.1+0.4 Clippers vs Pistons +6.0-3.8 +0.3-0.2 Clippers vs Kings +3.4-5.4 +0.2-0.3 Rockets vs Heat -1.5+3.0 -0.0+0.1 Thunder vs Rockets +2.1-2.1 Rockets vs Raptors -2.0+2.1 Heat vs Rockets +1.9-2.0 Nuggets vs Rockets +0.8-3.0 +0.0-0.1 Jazz vs Wizards -1.2+1.8 Jazz vs Thunder -0.9+1.9 Warriors vs Spurs +0.6-2.0 +0.0-0.1 Nuggets vs Jazz +0.5-2.1 Suns vs Jazz +0.5-1.9 Lakers vs Spurs +0.5-1.8 +0.0-0.1 Spurs vs Celtics -1.5+0.7 -0.1+0.0 Suns vs Trailblazers +0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Clippers finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Count 41 12 - 0 In 11 89 19 40 11 - 1 In 3 94 3 70 39 10 - 2 99.9 % 1 81 18 0 697 38 9 - 3 92.6 0 54 39 7 0 3,347 37 8 - 4 71.0 0 23 48 27 2 11,005 36 7 - 5 35.2 5 31 50 14 24,541 35 6 - 6 9.0 0 9 46 45 0 0 38,562 34 5 - 7 1.0 0 1 21 75 3 0 43,092 33 4 - 8 0.0 0 5 71 23 2 0 33,235 32 3 - 9 Out 0 30 51 18 1 17,752 31 2 - 10 Out 3 35 47 14 1 6,184 30 1 - 11 Out 8 41 44 7 1,238 29 0 - 12 Out 13 43 44 135 Total: 13.5 % 0 3 10 24 46 11 4 1 0 179,877
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

 Sunday 100.0* Lottery seed Suns 94 Clippers 110 -1.1 Clippers 105 Pacers 96 -0.5 Rockets 114 Lakers 96 +0.1 Warriors 95 Bulls 107 +0.1 Bulls 124 Hawks 99 +0.1 Spurs 95 Warriors 84 +0.1 Rockets 116 Pistons 92 +0.1 Thunder 114 Kings 122 -0.1 Thunder 120 Magic 107 +0.1 Celtics 104 Nets 116 +0.1 Rockets 110 Wizards 100 +0.1 Trailblazers 96 Suns 105 -0.1 Raptors 84 Pacers 129 +0.1 Trailblazers 116 Suns 137 -0.1 Trailblazers 107 Hawks 109 -0.1 Mavericks 119 Rockets 92 -0.1 Raptors 99 Trailblazers 82 -0.1 Wizards 118 Spurs 108 -0.1 Cavaliers 116 Hornets 112 +0.1 Heat 115 Hawks 117 -0.0 Bucks 106 Nets 78 -0.0 Mavericks 92 76ers 99 -0.0 Hornets 134 Cavaliers 115 -0.0 Celtics 122 Spurs 86 -0.0 Hornets 118 Cavaliers 108 -0.0 Pistons 122 Nets 83 -0.0 Timberwolves 98 Mavericks 95 -0.0 If winner is:HomeAway Tuesday 100.0* Lottery seed Hawks vs Clippers +0.2-1.0 Clippers vs Pistons -0.7+0.4 Clippers vs Kings -0.4+0.7 Warriors vs Spurs -0.0+0.2 Nuggets vs Rockets -0.0+0.2 Rockets vs Raptors +0.1-0.1 Lakers vs Spurs -0.0+0.1 Spurs vs Celtics +0.1-0.1 Jazz vs Wizards +0.1-0.1 Thunder vs Rockets -0.1+0.1 Pacers vs Cavaliers -0.1+0.1 Nuggets vs Jazz -0.0+0.1 Suns vs Jazz -0.0+0.1 Rockets vs Heat +0.0-0.1 Cavaliers vs Pacers +0.0-0.1 Hornets vs Bulls -0.0+0.1 Cavaliers vs Pacers +0.0-0.1 Heat vs Rockets -0.1+0.1 Bulls vs Nets +0.0-0.1 Heat vs 76ers +0.1-0.0 Jazz vs Thunder +0.0-0.1 Suns vs Trailblazers -0.0+0.1 76ers vs Heat -0.0+0.1

What If

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TW W - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 41 12 - 0 11 53 37 40 11 - 1 3 7 87 1 1 39 10 - 2 1 81 0 17 0 38 9 - 3 0 54 0 39 0 2 5 0 37 8 - 4 0 23 48 0 2 23 4 0 36 7 - 5 5 31 0 30 29 6 0 35 6 - 6 0 9 0 11 39 34 7 0 34 5 - 7 0 1 1 13 45 37 3 0 33 4 - 8 0 0 1 16 54 24 4 0 0 32 3 - 9 0 1 20 40 29 9 1 0 31 2 - 10 1 13 31 34 17 4 0 0 30 1 - 11 1 6 23 37 25 8 0 29 0 - 12 1 1 10 36 36 16 Total: 0 0 3 0 10 0 0 8 16 22 23 9 5 2 1 0 0 0