Jays Playoff Chances 2019 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds down 0.03 to 99.8%
9 points 9-0 5 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Devils 2 D2 1 | -0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Devils vs Jays | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | -0.3+0.0+0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Oilers | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | +0.3+0.0-0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Oilers | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | +0.3+0.0-0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Bandidos | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.3-0.0-0.3 | ||
| Jays vs Grizzlies | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | ||
| Eagles vs Crusaders | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Grizzlies vs Eagles | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| D2 vs Devils | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 7/2 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eagles vs Jays | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | ||
| Grizzlies vs Jays | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | ||
| Devils vs Eagles | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Crusaders vs Eagles | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| D2 vs Crusaders | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Bandidos vs Devils | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Wolfpack vs Crusaders | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jays finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||||
| 18 | 9 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 95 | 5 | 19,741 | |||||||||||||
| 17 | .5 | 8 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 90 | 10 | 3,234 | ||||||||||||
| 17 | 8 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 69 | 30 | 0 | 155,250 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 75 | 25 | 255 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | .5 | 7 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | In | 60 | 39 | 1 | 24,710 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | In | 86 | 14 | 7 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | In | 31 | 61 | 8 | 618,134 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | In | 35 | 57 | 7 | 1,724 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 15 | .5 | 6 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | In | 22 | 65 | 12 | 87,524 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | In | 8 | 72 | 20 | 76 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | 6 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | In | 6 | 60 | 34 | 1,443,267 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | In | 7 | 60 | 33 | 5,247 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| 14 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | In | 3 | 53 | 44 | 175,138 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | In | 1 | 57 | 43 | 176 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | In | 0 | 32 | 67 | 1 | 0 | 2,164,263 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | In | 0 | 33 | 67 | 0 | 8,902 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | In | 33 | 33 | 33 | 3 | |||||||||||||
| 13 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | In | 0 | 22 | 74 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218,917 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | In | 0 | 24 | 73 | 2 | 251 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 5 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 13 | 4 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | In | 0 | 9 | 79 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2,168,633 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | In | 10 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 8,849 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 4 | In | 20 | 60 | 20 | 5 | |||||||||||||
| 12 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | In | 3 | 54 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 174,353 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 3 | In | 3 | 60 | 34 | 4 | 199 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 3 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1 | 41 | 42 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1,442,679 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 2 | In | 1 | 38 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 5,357 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 4 | In | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 2 | - | 0 | 6 | 1 | 99.9 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 87,916 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 3 | In | 14 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 69 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 2 | - | 0 | 7 | 0 | 99.8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 46 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 618,772 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 6 | 2 | 99.7 | 3 | 23 | 47 | 27 | 0 | 1,805 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | 7 | 1 | 95.2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 25,032 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 3 | 87.5 | 25 | 13 | 50 | 13 | 8 | ||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 0 | 92.6 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 68 | 7 | 0 | 154,422 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 7 | 2 | 94.3 | 2 | 15 | 78 | 6 | 244 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 0 | - | 0 | 8 | 1 | 68.2 | 3 | 65 | 30 | 2 | 3,083 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | 9 | 0 | 58.8 | 1 | 57 | 39 | 3 | 19,688 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 99.8 | % | 5 | 25 | 49 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9,637,940 | |||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:12 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
