Beitz's Burrito Boys Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Tied HOWO 5-5, playoff odds down 5.9 to 10.4%
11 points   4-11-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DOUC 6 MUEL 4 +2.6
+0.1
MACM 3 RUET 6 -2.5
-0.1
BIRD 4 PIMP 6 -0.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 2/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BTZ vs MACM+7.3-7.3
+0.5-0.5
RUET vs BIRD-3.7+3.7
CLAP vs HOWO+1.8-1.8
+0.1-0.1
PIMP vs DOUC-1.1+1.1
MUEL vs HAND-0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the BTZ finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
194-0-075.4%1956241806,867
173-1-021.71215424103,210,035
152-2-00.6114503054,820,079
131-3-0Out0842493,211,488
110-4-0Out694805,467
Total:10.4%192027232012,853,936
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs