Beitz's Burrito Boys Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50

Lost to HOLM 3-7, playoff odds down 9.4 to 16.2%
10 points   4-11-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BTZ 3 HOLM 7 -11.0
-0.5
RUET 9 HOWO 1 +1.9
PIMP 4 MACM 5 +1.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 2/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HOWO vs BTZ-11.5+11.5
-0.6+0.6
DOUC vs MUEL+2.7-2.7
+0.1-0.1
MACM vs RUET+2.5-2.5
+0.1-0.1
BIRD vs PIMP+0.4-0.4
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the BTZ finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
205-0-097.1%1484830443,900
184-1-064.21054315002,207,657
163-2-010.001036401314,413,134
142-3-00.1032149274,418,831
121-4-0Out0118822,210,866
100-5-0Out100445,956
Total:16.2%03131720222514,140,344
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs