Beitz's Burrito Boys Playoff Chances 2015-2016

Lost to DOUC 0-10, playoff odds down 5 to 0%
13 points   5-13-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BIRD 3 BTZ 6 +3.7
+0.7
DOUC 3 RUET 6 -1.6
-0.1
HOWO 2 DOEP 5 +1.0
+0.1
HOLM 2 MUEL 6 -0.7
-0.2
HAND 6 PIMP 3 +0.5
Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BTZ 0 DOUC 10 Out
-0.5
RUET 7 HAND 2 -3.5
-0.1
PIMP 7 HOLM 3 -2.0
MUEL 4 HOWO 5 -0.3
CLAP 8 BIRD 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HAND vs BTZ-0.4+0.5
BIRD vs DOEP-0.4+0.2
MACM vs MUEL+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the BTZ finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
151-0-0Out0544625,207,032
130-1-0Out623833,937,160
Total:Out023562259,144,192
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs