Beitz's Burrito Boys Playoff Chances 2015

Beat DOUC 6-4, playoff odds up 14.9 to 53.8%
8 points   3-5-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
DOUC 4 BTZ 6 +11.2
+0.6
HOLM 6 PIMP 4 +0.9
HOWO 3 MUEL 7 +0.7
HAND 6 RUET 3 +0.4
BIRD 3 CLAP 7 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 12/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BTZ vs HAND+11.4-10.2
+0.6-0.6
MUEL vs MACM-1.5+1.2
-0.1+0.1
RUET vs HOLM-1.5+1.2
DOEP vs BIRD+1.1-1.5
+0.0-0.1
CLAP vs DOUC-0.8+0.7
-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the BTZ finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112Count
3212-0-0In4843917,571
3011-1-0In1343368035,262
2810-2-0In115443640223,791
269-3-0In0115503040856,872
248-4-0100.0%011746315002,208,617
227-5-099.5011341368004,034,415
206-6-082.10073341162005,376,420
185-7-025.3003224127605,253,340
164-8-01.50114393693,737,254
143-9-00.0011144441,887,482
122-10-0Out011980641,022
101-11-0Out0496132,171
80-12-0Out010017,199
Total:53.8%00148111415151311824,411,416
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs