Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-LPCTGD%Change12345Avg.ChangeRPI
Gladiators15-01.0003892.7%+0.681115201.3+0.051Alabama Gladiators
Grizzlies4-2.6671385.7+12.0563011301.6+0.434Boise Grizzlies
Tropics4-2.6671180.8-10.2354616301.9-0.425Hawaii Tropics
Navy13-2.6003351.3+3.58432215112.8+0.043Connecticut Navy
Aces12-3.4004224.0-3.8717482633.0-0.078Las Vegas Aces
Polaires3-3.500923.6+10.02223125203.4+0.452Quebec Polaires
Shockers3-3.500517.2-14.67102231303.7-0.557Louisville Shockers
Kings12-3.400-315.1+0.61141927393.9+0.026Memphis Kings
Nightmare2-4.333-279.6+2.727256233.6+0.309San Antonio Nightmare
Albuquerque0-6.000-1210.0-0.7006944.9-0.2510Albuquerque 47s

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday, 1/6
Polaires 41 Shockers 37
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gladiators+0.5
Navy+3.5
Polaires+9.2
+0.4
Shockers-13.9
-0.5
Kings+0.7
Grizzlies 17 Tropics 14
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grizzlies+13.4
+0.4
Tropics-8.1
-0.4
Aces-3.7
Nightmare-1.3
Albuquerque-0.3
Albuquerque 24 Nightmare 31
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grizzlies-2.5
Tropics-0.9
Aces-0.5
Nightmare+4.6
+0.3
AlbuquerqueOut
-0.2
Kings vs NavyIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gladiators93.493.492.192.1
Navy32.733.869.269.9
3.33.22.32.3
Polaires28.828.718.418.4
Shockers18.718.515.915.8
Kings26.525.64.33.8
3.43.44.34.3
Aces vs GladiatorsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gladiators89.389.696.496.1
1.41.41.11.2
Grizzlies82.882.988.688.6
1.71.71.51.5
Tropics76.877.484.984.8
1.91.91.81.8
Navy51.6*51.4*50.851.1
2.72.72.82.8
Aces32.532.115.315.4
2.82.83.23.2
Polaires24.0*23.8*23.623.2
Shockers19.619.414.614.9
3.63.63.73.7
Kings15.615.814.614.7
Nightmare7.97.711.111.3
3.73.73.53.5
Thursday, 1/7
Aces vs TropicsIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grizzlies85.4*85.2*85.885.9
1.51.51.71.7
Tropics64.870.096.696.6
2.22.21.51.5
Aces39.634.68.48.5
2.62.73.43.4
Nightmare10.110.29.29.0
3.63.63.53.5
Shockers vs PolairesHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gladiators91.891.993.693.6
Navy52.552.150.150.1
Polaires10.110.536.937.0
3.93.92.92.9
Shockers29.028.75.75.5
3.13.14.34.3
Kings16.616.813.713.7
3.93.93.83.8
Gladiators vs NavyHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gladiators98.498.487.287.0
1.11.11.41.5
Navy38.138.264.264.6
3.13.12.42.4
Polaires29.629.617.717.6
3.33.33.53.5
Shockers17.517.8*17.017.0
3.63.63.73.7
Kings16.416.013.913.8
Nightmare vs KingsHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gladiators93.393.392.092.2
Grizzlies83.183.188.288.2
1.71.71.61.6
Tropics78.278.483.483.4
Navy54.453.648.448.3
2.72.72.82.8
Aces23.7*23.5*24.324.2
3.13.12.92.9
Polaires24.925.322.422.2
3.33.33.53.5
Shockers19.019.115.515.5
3.53.53.83.8
Kings8.48.721.721.8
4.24.23.63.6
Nightmare15.015.04.14.2
3.43.43.83.8
Albuquerque vs GrizzliesHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Grizzlies77.177.394.194.1
1.91.91.41.4
Tropics82.882.878.878.8
1.71.72.02.0
Aces27.927.720.120.0
Nightmare12.212.37.17.0
Albuquerque4.94.95.05.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.