Memphis Title Chances Fall2018 50/50
Beat Mississippi 2-0, title odds up 4.4 to 28.9%
9 points 3-0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Mississippi 0 Memphis 2 | +12.7 | +0.9 | ||
| Huntsville 4 Louisiana 0 | -3.2 | -0.1 | ||
| Vestavia 0 Tennessee 4 | -2.7 | -0.0 | ||
| Destin 0 Mandeville 3 | -1.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Hattiesburg 0 Houston 1 | +0.6 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Memphis vs Hattiesburg | +13.4-3.4-10.6 | +0.7-0.0-0.6 | ||
| Louisiana vs Tennessee | +3.8+1.4-5.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Mandeville vs Huntsville | +1.8+2.3-3.8 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Houston vs Mississippi | -0.4+0.2+0.3 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||
| Destin vs Vestavia | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 27 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | 100 | 24,251 | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | 108,960 | ||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | 128,090 | |||||||||||
| 23 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.1 | 98 | 2 | 234,018 | |||||||||||
| 22 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 91.3 | 91 | 9 | 0 | 546,486 | ||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 76.9 | 77 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 319,898 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 89.4 | 89 | 10 | 0 | 266,805 | |||||||||||
| 20 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 70.6 | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 935,873 | |||||||||
| 19 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 46.4 | 46 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 1,093,663 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 59.2 | 59 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 171,659 | ||||||||||
| 18 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 33.8 | 34 | 52 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 802,652 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 21.8 | 22 | 52 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 425,142 | |||||||||
| 17 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 13.0 | 13 | 48 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 1,404,729 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 16.7 | 17 | 53 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 58,438 | |||||||||
| 16 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | 26 | 48 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,094,640 | ||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 4.7 | 5 | 34 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 344,068 | ||||||||
| 15 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.6 | 1 | 12 | 44 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 801,266 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 319,831 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.8 | 1 | 15 | 51 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 8,490 | ||||||||
| 14 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 936,668 | |||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 47 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 58,465 | |||||||
| 13 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 546,891 | |||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0 | 6 | 31 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172,066 | ||||||
| 12 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 268,263 | |||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 6 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 127,508 | |||||||
| 11 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 234,671 | |||||
| 10 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 109,861 | ||||||
| 9 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 27 | 4 | 24,188 | |||||||
| Total: | 28.9 | % | 29 | 25 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11,567,540 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:11 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
