The Blair Walsh Project Playoff Chances 2017-2018

Beat Justy 107.5-53.9, average seed up 0.4 to 8.9
4-8   .333

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Michael 112.1 Jaylen 66.4 -2.3
-0.3
Cole 125.5 Dozza 104.2 -0.8
JP 86.2 Justy 88.2 +0.4
John 97.7 Shaun 97.2 +0.1
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaylen 107.5 Justy 53.9 +0.6
Dozza 74.2 JP 97.5 -0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 12/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jaylen vs Dozza+0.6-0.2
Justy vs Michael-0.3+0.1
Jones vs JP+0.0-0.1
Shaun vs Derek-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Jaylen finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910Count
51-0Out18384431,506,164
40-1Out891176,521,256
Total:Out511768108,027,420
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs