Seattle Sounders Playoff Chances 2012
Plays at Chivas USA 10:30 PM, playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.8%
40 points 11-7-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 0 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Chivas USA vs Sounders | -0.3+0.0+0.2 | -3.7-2.1+3.5 | -0.3-0.1+0.2 | |||
| Galaxy vs FC Dallas | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| New England vs Chivas USA | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Earthquakes vs Rapids | -1.1+1.1+2.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| DC United vs Red Bulls | +0.3*+0.1-0.8 | |||||
| Sporting KC vs Red Bulls | -0.4+0.7+0.3 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FC Dallas vs Sounders | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -3.3-1.3+4.8 | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | |||
| Earthquakes vs Chivas USA | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | -0.9+1.3+2.5 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Sporting KC vs Toronto FC | -0.6+0.8+1.4 | |||||
| Fire vs Dynamo | -0.1+0.3*-0.0 | |||||
| Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | -0.1+0.2+0.1 | +0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||||
| Real Salt Lake vs DC United | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Sounders finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 70 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.0 | % | 99 | 1 | No | 1,392 | ||||||||||||
| 68 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 92.5 | 95 | 5 | No | 6,062 | |||||||||||||
| 67 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 84.9 | 90 | 10 | No | 7,314 | |||||||||||||
| 66 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 75.4 | 83 | 17 | No | 14,431 | |||||||||||||
| 65 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 61.6 | 74 | 26 | 0 | No | 34,682 | ||||||||||||
| 64 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 48.1 | 65 | 35 | 0 | No | 20,535 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 44.6 | 62 | 38 | 0 | No | 20,227 | |||||||||||||
| 63 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 31.5 | 52 | 48 | 0 | No | 72,219 | ||||||||||||
| 62 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 18.0 | 40 | 59 | 1 | No | 83,527 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 19.2 | 42 | 57 | 0 | No | 18,711 | |||||||||||||
| 61 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 9.1 | 30 | 68 | 1 | No | 87,212 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 7.7 | 28 | 70 | 2 | No | 31,979 | |||||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 3.2 | 20 | 76 | 4 | 0 | No | 150,203 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 4.1 | 22 | 75 | 3 | No | 11,705 | |||||||||||||
| 59 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 0.8 | 12 | 78 | 10 | 0 | No | 112,966 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 1.0 | 13 | 80 | 7 | 0 | No | 67,435 | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 0.2 | 7 | 77 | 15 | 0 | No | 152,787 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 0.1 | 6 | 74 | 19 | 0 | No | 31,328 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 0.3 | 8 | 80 | 12 | No | 4,963 | |||||||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 0.0 | 3 | 68 | 28 | 1 | No | 169,561 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 0.0 | 4 | 72 | 24 | 0 | No | 34,214 | ||||||||||||
| 56 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | No | 2 | 59 | 38 | 1 | No | 97,882 | * | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 0.0 | 1 | 54 | 42 | 3 | 0 | No | 92,519 | |||||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | No | 0 | 43 | 51 | 5 | 0 | No | 141,559 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | No | 0 | 37 | 55 | 8 | 0 | No | 19,764 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | No | 1 | 47 | 49 | 3 | No | 11,622 | ||||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | No | 0 | 26 | 61 | 13 | 0 | No | 114,228 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | No | 0 | 31 | 60 | 9 | 0 | No | 38,824 | * | ||||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | No | 0 | 16 | 62 | 21 | 1 | No | 70,180 | ||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | No | 0 | 13 | 59 | 27 | 1 | No | 50,681 | * | ||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | No | 0 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 3 | No | 74,654 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | No | 0 | 9 | 60 | 29 | 2 | No | 9,561 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 100.0 | % | No | 5 | 48 | 43 | 4 | 0 | No | 8,209 | * | |||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 100.0 | No | 2 | 38 | 52 | 9 | 0 | No | 46,971 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | No | 3 | 45 | 47 | 6 | No | 20,991 | * | |||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.9 | No | 1 | 28 | 57 | 15 | 0 | No | 27,216 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 99.8 | No | 0 | 23 | 58 | 19 | 0 | No | 17,082 | * | ||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 99.5 | No | 0 | 14 | 56 | 30 | 1 | No | 22,287 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.3 | No | 0 | 15 | 56 | 28 | 1 | No | 5,716 | * | ||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 96.6 | No | 0 | 5 | 44 | 47 | 3 | 0 | No | 11,463 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.6 | No | 8 | 52 | 39 | 1 | No | 5,258 | * | |||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 93.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 35 | 56 | 6 | 0 | No | 5,457 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 89.8 | No | 1 | 29 | 59 | 10 | 0 | No | 3,478 | * | ||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 81.3 | No | 0 | 20 | 61 | 18 | 1 | No | 4,448 | * | |||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 63.3 | No | 8 | 55 | 34 | 3 | No | 2,074 | * | ||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 43.4 | No | 3 | 41 | 49 | 7 | 0 | No | 804 | * | |||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 20.8 | No | 1 | 20 | 56 | 22 | 1 | No | 250 | * | |||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 10.0 | No | 10 | 50 | 36 | 4 | No | 90 | |||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | Out | No | 45 | 40 | 15 | No | 20 | ||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | Out | No | 14 | 58 | 27 | 1 | No | 266 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 99.8 | % | 6.1 | % | 13 | 49 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,037,007 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Chivas USA vs Sounders | +0.7+0.2-0.5 | |
| Earthquakes vs Rapids | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Galaxy vs FC Dallas | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | |
| Timbers vs Whitecaps | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| FC Dallas vs Sounders | +0.5+0.1-0.7 | |
| Real Salt Lake vs DC United | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
| Earthquakes vs Chivas USA | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| Galaxy vs Whitecaps | +0.0-0.1-0.0 | |
| Sporting KC vs Toronto FC | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | |
| 70 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 93 | 2 | 5 | |||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 85 | 5 | 10 | |||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 75 | 8 | 17 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 62 | 13 | 26 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 64 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 48 | 17 | 34 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 45 | 17 | 38 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 31 | 21 | 46 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 62 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 18 | 22 | 54 | 5 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 19 | 23 | 53 | 5 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 9 | 21 | 56 | 13 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 3 | 17 | 50 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 4 | 18 | 51 | 24 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 59 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 56 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 55 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 56 | 9 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 59 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 62 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 56 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 14 | 23 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 15 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 10 | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 5 | 56 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 6 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 60 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 58 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 53 | 5 | 31 | 2 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 59 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 5 | 0 | 48 | 6 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 48 | 5 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 3 | 43 | 3 | 2 | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 56 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 57 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 56 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 55 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 44 | 6 | 41 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 8 | 0 | 52 | 6 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 4 | 52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 1 | 29 | 4 | 56 | 5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 60 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 8 | 0 | 55 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 3 | 41 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 5 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 14 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 32 | 4 | ||||||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 5 | 30 | 40 | 25 | ||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 10 | 0 | 12 | 39 | 35 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 6 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 7 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
