Montreal Impact Playoff Chances 2012

Beat DC United 3-1, playoff odds up 8.8 to 17%

39 points 12-3-13

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Impact finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Supporters	Chance will finish regular season at seed										Wooden
TP	W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Spoon	Count

57	6	-	0	-	0	In		No	3	31	46	18	2						No	1,572
55	5	-	1	-	0	98.8	%	No	0	6	31	44	18	1					No	7,111
54	5	-	0	-	1	94.9		No	0	1	14	44	35	5					No	13,976
53	4	-	2	-	0	89.3		No		0	8	36	45	11	0				No	15,335
52	4	-	1	-	1	77.0		No		0	2	21	54	23	0				No	60,554
51	4	-	0	-	2	61.1		No			0	9	52	38	1				No	57,389
	3	-	3	-	0	66.3		No		0	1	12	53	33	0				No	17,362
50	3	-	2	-	1	48.7		No			0	5	44	50	2				No	99,819
49	3	-	1	-	2	33.1		No			0	1	32	61	6	0			No	187,791
	2	-	4	-	0	36.8		No			0	2	35	60	3				No	10,865
48	3	-	0	-	3	20.1		No				0	20	67	13	0			No	115,903
	2	-	3	-	1	23.5		No			0	0	23	68	8	0			No	79,772
47	2	-	2	-	2	13.2		No				0	13	69	18	0			No	221,161
	1	-	5	-	0	14.8		No				0	15	73	12	0			No	3,345
46	2	-	1	-	3	6.5		No				0	6	63	31	0			No	268,068
	1	-	4	-	1	8.1		No				0	8	68	24	0			No	31,592
45	2	-	0	-	4	2.7		No					3	50	46	1	0		No	119,006
	1	-	3	-	2	3.5		No				0	3	57	38	1	0		No	112,274
	0	-	6	-	0	5.1		No					5	63	31	1			No	431
44	1	-	2	-	3	1.3		No					1	43	53	3	0		No	199,731
	0	-	5	-	1	2.0		No					2	50	46	2			No	4,731
43	1	-	1	-	4	0.3		No					0	27	65	7	0		No	173,182
	0	-	4	-	2	0.5		No					0	35	59	5	0		No	20,707
42	1	-	0	-	5	0.1		No					0	15	69	16	1		No	58,238
	0	-	3	-	3	0.1		No					0	20	67	13	0		No	47,335
41	0	-	2	-	4	0.0		No					0	9	65	24	1	0	No	59,864
40	0	-	1	-	5	Out		No						3	53	39	5	0	No	39,060
39	0	-	0	-	6	Out		No						1	34	53	12	0	No	10,833

Total:						17.0	%	No	0	0	0	2	14	48	31	4	0	0	No	2,037,007

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19

57	6	-	0	-	0		3	11	20	41	6	18		2
55	5	-	1	-	0		0	1	6	19	12	43	1	18		1
54	5	-	0	-	1		0	0	1	6	8	41	3	35	0	5
53	4	-	2	-	0			0	0	2	6	31	6	45	0	11	0
52	4	-	1	-	1				0	0	2	15	6	53	1	23	0
51	4	-	0	-	2					0	0	5	4	50	2	38	1
	3	-	3	-	0				0	0	1	7	6	51	2	33	0
50	3	-	2	-	1					0	0	2	3	40	4	50	2
49	3	-	1	-	2						0	0	1	26	6	61	6	0
	2	-	4	-	0						0	1	1	29	6	60	3
48	3	-	0	-	3							0	0	13	6	67	13	0
	2	-	3	-	1						0	0	0	16	7	68	9	0
47	2	-	2	-	2							0	0	7	6	68	19	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0								0	8	7	72	13	0
46	2	-	1	-	3							0	0	2	4	59	32	2	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0	3	5	65	26	1	0
45	2	-	0	-	4									1	2	44	46	6	0	0
	1	-	3	-	2								0	1	3	51	40	5	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0									1	4	56	35	4
44	1	-	2	-	3									0	1	33	51	13	1	0
	0	-	5	-	1									0	2	40	46	11	1	0
43	1	-	1	-	4									0	0	17	51	27	5	0	0
	0	-	4	-	2									0	0	22	50	24	3	0
42	1	-	0	-	5										0	7	39	39	14	2	0
	0	-	3	-	3									0	0	9	41	37	11	1	0	0
41	0	-	2	-	4										0	3	25	43	24	5	0	0
40	0	-	1	-	5											0	11	35	36	15	3	0
39	0	-	0	-	6											0	3	19	38	30	9	1	0

Total:							0	0	0	0	0	1	1	11	3	44	26	9	3	1	0	0	0