San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances 2012Plays Rapids 10:30 PM, playoff odds unchanged at 99.998% 47 points 14-5-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed | Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 0 | | | -0.4 | | | | Impact 3 DC United 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Earthquakes vs Rapids | InIn-0.0 | | +8.9-9.2-18.0 | | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | Sporting KC vs Red Bulls | | | -2.7+4.1+2.1 | | | | DC United vs Red Bulls | | | +1.6+0.4-3.7 | | | | Chivas USA vs Sounders | | | +1.4+0.9-1.4 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed | Earthquakes vs Chivas USA | InIn-0.0 | | +7.5-10.3-19.2 | | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | Sporting KC vs Toronto FC | | | -3.1+4.3+7.1 | | | | FC Dallas vs Sounders | | | +1.3+0.6-2.0 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Fire vs Dynamo | | | -0.8+1.6*-0.0 | | | | Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | | | -0.5+0.8+0.3 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Real Salt Lake vs DC United | | | -0.2+0.2*+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | -74 | | In | 99.8 | % | 100 | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,979 | * | 69 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 98.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 70,420 | | 68 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 97.6 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 39,572 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 98.0 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,285 | | 67 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 94.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 124,520 | | 66 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 91.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 136,126 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | In | 91.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 27,764 | | 65 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 84.1 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 124,002 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 83.1 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | No | 48,042 | | 64 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 73.2 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 200,254 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | In | 75.1 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 13,967 | | 63 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 59.2 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 138,036 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 61.6 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 76,424 | | 62 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | In | 43.3 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 161,202 | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 41.2 | | 86 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 34,407 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | In | 46.2 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,695 | | 61 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | In | 26.9 | | 82 | 18 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 163,935 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | In | 28.9 | | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 29,824 | | 60 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | In | 13.3 | | 70 | 29 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 80,363 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | In | 14.5 | | 75 | 24 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 77,663 | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | In | 16.3 | | 82 | 18 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 991 | | 59 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | In | 5.5 | | 61 | 36 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 103,510 | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | In | 4.8 | | 56 | 41 | 3 | | | | | | | | No | 15,241 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | In | 6.4 | | 68 | 30 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 7,352 | | 58 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | In | 1.6 | | 46 | 48 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 74,627 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | In | 1.7 | | 52 | 43 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 22,356 | | | 1 | - | 8 | - | 0 | In | 1.8 | | 57 | 38 | 4 | | | | | | | | No | 112 | | 57 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | In | 0.3 | | 35 | 53 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 36,254 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | In | 0.3 | | 31 | 55 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 28,019 | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | In | 0.3 | | 39 | 51 | 10 | | | | | | | | No | 1,073 | | 56 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | In | 0.0 | | 21 | 56 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 34,621 | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | In | 0.0 | | 17 | 56 | 26 | 1 | | | | | | | No | 4,168 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | In | No | 26 | 53 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,541 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | In | No | 10 | 49 | 37 | 3 | | | | | | | No | 19,019 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | In | No | 12 | 52 | 33 | 3 | | | | | | | No | 6,750 | | | 0 | - | 8 | - | 1 | In | No | 16 | 54 | 30 | | | | | | | | No | 67 | | 54 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | In | No | 5 | 38 | 49 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,919 | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | In | No | 5 | 35 | 50 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,852 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | In | No | 7 | 45 | 41 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | No | 258 | | 53 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | In | No | 2 | 22 | 57 | 19 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,914 | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | In | No | 1 | 19 | 56 | 23 | 1 | | | | | | No | 703 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | In | No | 3 | 26 | 57 | 14 | | | | | | | No | 541 | | 52 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | In | No | 0 | 12 | 51 | 35 | 2 | | | | | | No | 2,713 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | In | No | 0 | 17 | 52 | 29 | 2 | | | | | | No | 731 | | 51 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | In | No | | 4 | 39 | 51 | 6 | | | | | | No | 672 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | In | No | | 7 | 39 | 50 | 4 | | | | | | No | 654 | | 50 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | In | No | | 2 | 26 | 61 | 11 | | | | | | No | 440 | * | 49 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | In | No | | | 13 | 60 | 28 | | | | | | No | 134 | | 48 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | In | No | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | No | 28 | | 47 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | 83.1 | % | No | | | 0 | 24 | 59 | 15 | 2 | | | | No | 267 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 100.0 | % | 52.8 | % | 83 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 2,037,007 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesIf winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Earthquakes vs Rapids | -0.2+0.2+0.5 | | Chivas USA vs Sounders | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Earthquakes vs Chivas USA | -0.2+0.2+0.5 | | FC Dallas vs Sounders | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | Sporting KC vs Toronto FC | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 74 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 72 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 68 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 66 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 91 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 73 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 75 | 24 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 63 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 59 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 62 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 62 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 43 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 41 | 45 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 46 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 27 | 55 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 29 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 13 | 57 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 14 | 61 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 16 | 65 | 14 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 59 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 5 | 56 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 5 | 52 | 21 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 6 | 62 | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 58 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 2 | 44 | 16 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 2 | 51 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 57 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 35 | 9 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 31 | 9 | 46 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0 | 39 | 10 | 41 | 7 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 51 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 53 | 11 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | | 26 | 4 | 49 | 9 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | | 10 | 1 | 48 | 9 | 28 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | | 12 | 1 | 51 | 9 | 24 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 54 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | | 5 | 0 | 38 | 6 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | | 5 | 0 | 35 | 5 | 44 | 5 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | | 2 | | 22 | 2 | 54 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | | 1 | | 19 | 2 | 54 | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | | 3 | | 26 | 3 | 54 | 4 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | | 0 | | 12 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | | 0 | | 17 | 1 | 52 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 51 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | | | | 4 | | 39 | 6 | 46 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | | | | 7 | | 39 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | | | | 2 | | 26 | 1 | 60 | 4 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | 49 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | | | | | | 13 | | 60 | 9 | 19 | | | | | | | | | | 48 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | | | | | | | | 50 | 21 | 29 | | | | | | | | | | 47 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | | | | | | 0 | | 24 | 5 | 54 | 6 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 53 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | |
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