Joseph Lefgren Playoff Chances September 50/50

Beat CB 10-8, playoff odds up 3.8 to 96.8%
6 points   3-0 1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 11/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Miss Playoffs100.0*Average seed
JL 10 CB 8 +4.4
+12.8
-4.4
+0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
SF vs DK+0.5-0.5
-0.2+0.2
-0.5+0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Monday, 11/4100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Miss Playoffs100.0*Average seed
SF vs JL-3.2+3.2
-13.5+13.5
+3.2-3.2
-0.4+0.4
DK vs MP-1.4+1.4
+5.3-5.4
+1.4-1.4

What If

Chances based on how well the JL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seedMiss
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ12345PlayoffsCount
144-00InYes100No222,057
123-01In79.5%8020No877,156
102-02In23.12362140No1,317,927
81-0399.2%0.1017572510.8%879,620
60-0451.6No4484848.4220,740
Total:96.8%34.8%353320933.2%3,517,500
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs