Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPI
Ohio8-4-0.667188.36In+0.02435412.2+1.093Ohio Style
Sexton8-4-0.66791.24In48522.5-0.592Team Sexton
Hirth6-6-0.500-35.382.5%-8.32538196115.4-0.806Team Hirth
Jones6-6-0.50093.581.6-8.4601571264.9-0.594Team Jones
El-Hayek5-7-0.417-114.114.1+4.4143426257.6+0.445Team El-Hayek

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/18
Hirth 117.8 El-Hayek 100.2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio+0.1
-0.1
Sexton-0.1
Hirth+21.1
+0.9
Jones-1.4
-0.1
El-Hayek-21.0
-0.8
Jones 121 Tom Brady 63.3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio-0.1
-0.1
Hirth-1.6
-0.2
Jones+13.3
+0.7
El-Hayek-3.1
-0.1
New York 119.9 Jack 109.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio+0.2
Sexton+0.1
Hirth-1.3
Jones-2.5
-0.1
El-Hayek-1.9
-0.1
Witchey 98.4 Nightmares 84.6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hirth-2.4
+0.0
Jones-1.6
+0.1
El-Hayek+0.4
Ohio 109.68 Sexton 109.72
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio-0.1
-0.8
Sexton+0.6
Hirth+0.1
+0.1
Jones+0.1
Week of 11/25
El-Hayek 114.1 Jones 90.5
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio+0.1
Sexton-0.1
Hirth+0.7
+0.2
Jones-9.9
-0.7
El-Hayek+9.8
+0.4
Nightmares 63.1 Jack 136.2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio-0.3
Sexton-0.1
Hirth+9.3
+0.3
Jones+2.1
+0.2
El-Hayek+3.5
+0.3
Hirth 38.9 Ohio 87.2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
OhioIn
+0.9
Sexton-0.1
Hirth-8.6
-1.0
Jones+3.1
+0.1
El-Hayek-1.0
Sexton 93.5 Witchey 106
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio+0.1
Sexton-0.4
Hirth-4.6
+0.0
Jones-2.9
-0.1
El-Hayek-3.2
-0.0
Tom Brady 91.8 New York 96.3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hirth-1.7
Jones-3.0
-0.1
Week of 12/2
Jones vs OhioIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio2.72.51.6
Sexton2.32.52.8
Hirth88.288.376.7
5.55.05.3
JonesInIn62.8
4.05.05.8
El-HayekOutOut28.4
7.87.87.5
Sexton vs HirthHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio2.42.32.0
Sexton2.22.52.8
Hirth64.6InIn
6.35.04.5
Jones95.468.068.1
4.45.45.4
El-Hayek10.018.118.0
7.77.67.6
El-Hayek vs New YorkHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hirth94.879.170.2
5.15.35.7
Jones87.193.275.9
4.74.65.1
El-Hayek28.4OutOut
6.78.58.5
Nightmares vs Tom BradyHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hirth70.494.494.4
5.75.15.1
Jones73.489.789.6
5.14.74.7
El-Hayek14.2*13.913.9
7.97.97.4
Jack vs WitcheyHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ohio2.52.51.9
Hirth88.177.076.9
5.25.65.6
Jones89.673.973.7
4.75.15.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.