How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Edina vs Tonka-3.4-1.6+3.6
-11.7-3.4+12.3
+5.4+0.6-5.5
-2.5-0.5+2.6
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Orono vs Tonka-3.3-1.7+3.7
-11.7-3.7+12.4
+5.4+0.6-5.5
-2.5-0.6+2.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tonka finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
309-0-098.6%Yes991No1,088
288-1-097.8Yes982No1,526
278-0-193.2Yes9370No9,174
267-2-082.7Yes831610No1,124
257-1-176.1Yes7622200No12,965
247-0-257.7Yes5834810No36,861
6-3-064.1Yes6428700No446
236-2-137.4Yes374118400No7,813
226-1-220.3100.0%20372811300No45,501
5-4-021.9Yes22462454No105
216-0-35.899.06203025134100No86,610
5-3-16.699.572432231130No2,690
205-2-21.595.219222823124100No23,820
4-5-0NoYes1224282412No25
195-1-30.280.30292026231351000No89,671
4-4-10.285.2051123281810410No628
185-0-4No30.9013918242214721000No129,416
4-3-20.038.10015112124201251000No6,827
3-6-0NoYes100No1
174-2-3No6.30001513222519103100No39,363
3-5-1No14.159181729156No78
164-1-4No0.200014111924211252000No112,180
3-4-2No0.3002512232618931No1,193
154-0-5NoNo00137142122171041000No129,481
3-3-3NoNo014101722221473100No8,871
2-6-1NoNo202060No5
143-2-4NoNo0001513212519103100No39,004
2-5-2NoNo1361120271995No127
133-1-5NoNo000151220242011510000.0%90,169
2-4-3NoNo027152323169410No1,188
123-0-6NoNo000138162323168310003.186,834
2-3-4NoNo014101924211452002.46,807
1-6-2NoNo2914142914No7
112-2-5NoNo0013818252415610022.923,525
1-5-3NoNo38232620135118.995
102-1-6NoNo000271523251882053.545,122
1-4-4NoNo28172724165146.2580
92-0-7NoNo00131021282411286.737,184
1-3-5NoNo013122229239284.42,665
81-2-6NoNo0029233226897.58,068
0-5-4NoNo813133825491.724
71-1-7NoNo0021027382299.712,896
0-4-5NoNo121229382099.2133
61-0-8NoNo02123947Yes9,326
0-3-6NoNo03144341Yes465
50-2-7NoNo153163Yes1,096
40-1-8NoNo22276Yes1,576
30-0-9NoNo0990Yes1,157
Total:5.5%31.0%65555554444444333333332222219.1%1,115,510
Points
Chance Will Win Championship