Tonka Title Chances 2017Beat Fusion 2 30-5, Plays Fusion 2, title odds up 9 to 12.3% 3 points 1-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Edina vs Tonka | -6.6-3.2+6.7 | | -14.1-3.7+13.7 | | +2.5+0.2-2.3 | | -2.2-0.5+2.2 | | North Metro vs Gitchi Gummi | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.6-0.2 | | | | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Fusion 2 vs Orono | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Lakeville vs Eagan | | | | | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Prior Lake vs Shakopee | | | | | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | State | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Orono vs Tonka | -6.7-3.2+6.7 | | -14.1-3.6+13.6 | | +2.5+0.2-2.3 | | -2.2-0.5+2.2 | | Blackhawks vs MTA | *+0.0+0.6-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.7-0.1 | | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Keliix vs STMA | *+0.0+0.3-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.6-0.1 | | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Maplebrook vs Fusion 1 | *+0.0+0.3-0.1 | | | | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | Three Rivers vs Maplebrook | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | | | Eagan vs Prior Lake | | | *+0.0+0.5-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tonka finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | State | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.3 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,992 | | 28 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 98.1 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,717 | | 27 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 93.5 | | Yes | 93 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,370 | | 26 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 83.1 | | Yes | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,654 | | 25 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 78.0 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,707 | | 24 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 59.2 | | Yes | 59 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 224,518 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 61.7 | | Yes | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,334 | | 23 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 37.5 | | 100.0 | % | 38 | 41 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,963 | | 22 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 21.2 | | 100.0 | | 21 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 235,532 | | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 23.6 | | Yes | 24 | 42 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 751 | | 21 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 6.1 | | 99.1 | | 6 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 378,928 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 7.7 | | 99.5 | | 8 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,489 | | 20 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.6 | | 95.4 | | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,290 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 3.7 | | 97.2 | | 4 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 24 | 9 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 108 | | 19 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 80.8 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 339,792 | | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | 84.8 | | 0 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 20 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,672 | | 18 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 31.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 409,325 | | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 38.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,508 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 27.3 | | | | | 9 | | 18 | 18 | 18 | 27 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11 | | 17 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 6.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,556 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 10.1 | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 338 | | 16 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 24 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 303,749 | | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,926 | | 15 | | 4 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 291,261 | | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 25,126 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25 | | 14 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 90,437 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 29 | 17 | 8 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 352 | | 13 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 0.0 | % | 173,652 | | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 0.0 | | 2,789 | * | 12 | | 3 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 2.7 | | 137,293 | | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 2.2 | | 13,572 | | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 27 | 40 | 20 | 7 | | | | | | | | No | 15 | | 11 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 21.9 | | 38,379 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 1 | | | | 14.2 | | 183 | * | 10 | | 2 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | 50.5 | | 61,328 | | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 1 | | | 45.7 | | 991 | | | 0 | - | 7 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | | 50 | | | | | 50.0 | | 2 | | 9 | | 2 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 2 | | 85.0 | | 41,153 | | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | | 83.7 | | 3,873 | | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | 44 | 33 | | | | | 77.8 | | 9 | | 8 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 25 | 7 | | 97.1 | | 9,031 | | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 16 | 13 | | 96.8 | | 31 | | 7 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 21 | | 99.6 | | 12,326 | | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 24 | | Yes | 122 | | 6 | | 1 | - | 0 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 45 | | Yes | 7,107 | | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 41 | | Yes | 432 | | 5 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 31 | 62 | | Yes | 897 | | 4 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 75 | | Yes | 1,075 | | 3 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | | Yes | 839 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 12.3 | % | 48.9 | % | 12 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 3.4 | % | 3,346,530 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |