How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Keliix vs Three Rivers-2.1-1.1+2.3
-9.1-3.2+9.6
+8.0+1.5-8.3
-2.5-0.7+2.6
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.2*-0.2-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Three Rivers vs Maplebrook+2.3-1.0-2.1
+9.7-3.3-9.1
-8.4+1.3+8.1
+2.6-0.7-2.5
Three Rivers vs Blaine+2.2-1.1-2.1
+9.6-3.2-9.0
-8.3+1.5+8.1
+2.6-0.7-2.5
Orono vs Tonka*+0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Three Rivers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
3010-0-099.2%Yes991No599
289-1-098.0Yes982No801
279-0-192.4Yes92700No4,762
268-2-083.5Yes84161No668
258-1-176.7Yes772120No7,448
248-0-257.1Yes5734810No20,952
7-3-068.6Yes692840No312
237-2-137.2Yes374117410No5,257
227-1-220.2100.0%20382811300No29,808
6-4-022.9Yes234223831No96
217-0-35.598.96203125134100No57,008
6-3-18.199.1824302311310No2,110
206-2-21.595.128222923124100No18,038*
196-1-30.380.00291926231351000No68,923
5-4-10.486.40410252918841No530
186-0-40.030.3001391824221572100No99,183
5-3-2No37.701412212519125200No6,159*
175-2-3No6.0001513222519104100No36,140
4-5-1No11.7111132820151021No103
165-1-4No0.200014111924211352000No103,444
4-4-2No0.402613212518113100No1,403
155-0-5No0.0000137142022171041000No118,982
4-3-3NoNo0014917232114831000No10,347*
144-2-4NoNo0001513222519103100No45,231
3-5-2NoNo49162428164111No199
134-1-5NoNo000151220242012510000.0%103,642
3-4-3NoNo13714212417931000.11,874*
124-0-6NoNo00013816232316831003.199,675
3-3-4NoNo001491925211462002.010,491*
113-2-5NoNo0003817252415620022.836,190
2-5-3NoNo2210242222143117.9184*
103-1-6NoNo0000261524251882053.369,038
2-4-4NoNo01271625241672048.61,308*
93-0-7NoNo00131021282411286.556,388
2-3-5NoNo014112230229284.66,235*
82-2-6NoNo0029233326897.318,156
1-5-4NoNo1102433231098.993
72-1-7NoNo0021027382399.829,768
1-4-5NoNo021130362199.6535
62-0-8NoNo002133846100.021,464
1-3-6NoNo02144043Yes2,134*
51-2-7NoNo0063262Yes5,115
0-5-5NoNo202555Yes20
41-1-8NoNo022176Yes7,467
0-4-6NoNo31978Yes96
31-0-9NoNo0891Yes4,799
0-3-7NoNo01090Yes299
20-2-8NoNo694Yes626
10-1-9NoNo298Yes860
00-0-10NoNo199Yes550
Total:3.2%21.2%3344444433444433344444444433017.4%1,115,510

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship