Rev Academy 13 Black Title Chances 2017 50/50

Plays Shakopee, Plays at Shakopee, title odds unchanged at 3.2%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Edina vs Tonka							+0.0+0.1*-0.0
Fusion 2 vs Orono					+0.2-0.6*-0.1		-0.0+0.2-0.0
Lakeville vs Eagan							-0.0+0.1*+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	State	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rev Academy 13 vs RYSA	+2.2-1.0-2.1		+9.5-3.1-9.0		-8.4+1.3+8.1		+2.6-0.7-2.5
Orono vs Tonka	+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Maplebrook vs Fusion 1							*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rev Academy 13 finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance				Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	wins title		State		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	Relegated		Count

30	10	-	0	-	0	98.9	%	Yes		99	1																												No		562
28	9	-	1	-	0	98.2		Yes		98	2																												No		820
27	9	-	0	-	1	92.0		Yes		92	8	0																											No		4,758
26	8	-	2	-	0	82.1		Yes		82	16	2	0																										No		643
25	8	-	1	-	1	76.4		Yes		76	21	2	0																										No		7,383
24	8	-	0	-	2	56.9		Yes		57	34	8	1	0																									No		21,434
	7	-	3	-	0	60.3		Yes		60	33	6	1																										No		292
23	7	-	2	-	1	38.0		Yes		38	40	17	4	0																									No		5,096
22	7	-	1	-	2	20.0		100.0	%	20	37	28	11	3	0	0	0																						No		29,961
	6	-	4	-	0	33.8		Yes		34	45	12	9																										No		74
21	7	-	0	-	3	5.5		99.0		6	20	31	26	13	4	1	0	0																					No		56,582
	6	-	3	-	1	7.4		99.3		7	23	33	23	10	2	1	0																						No		2,165
20	6	-	2	-	2	1.5		95.3		1	9	22	28	23	12	4	1	0	0																				No		18,054	*
19	6	-	1	-	3	0.3		80.0		0	2	9	20	26	23	13	5	1	0	0																			No		68,824
	5	-	4	-	1	0.2		81.2		0	3	11	21	27	19	14	4	1																					No		520
18	6	-	0	-	4	0.0		30.4		0	0	1	3	9	18	23	22	14	7	2	1	0	0	0															No		99,684
	5	-	3	-	2	No		36.4			0	1	4	12	20	25	21	12	5	1	0	0																	No		6,290
17	5	-	2	-	3	No		6.1				0	0	1	5	13	21	26	19	10	4	1	0	0															No		35,800
	4	-	5	-	1	No		13.3						1	12	15	29	18	14	8		2																	No		98
16	5	-	1	-	4	No		0.2						0	0	1	4	11	19	24	21	13	5	2	0	0	0												No		103,260
	4	-	4	-	2	No		0.3							0	2	6	15	23	21	18	10	3	1	0														No		1,390
15	5	-	0	-	5	No		No								0	0	1	3	7	14	21	22	17	10	4	1	0	0	0									No		119,561
	4	-	3	-	3	No		No								0	0	1	3	10	17	22	21	14	7	3	1	0	0										No		10,465	*
14	4	-	2	-	4	No		No										0	0	0	1	5	13	22	25	19	10	3	1	0	0								No		45,244
	3	-	5	-	2	No		No												1	2	6	21	21	29	11	5	2		0									No		201
13	4	-	1	-	5	No		No												0	0	0	1	5	12	20	24	20	12	5	1	0	0	0	0				0.0	%	103,354
	3	-	4	-	3	No		No														0	2	6	15	21	23	19	10	3	1	0	0						0.1		1,873	*
12	4	-	0	-	6	No		No														0	0	0	1	3	8	16	23	23	16	8	3	1	0	0			3.2		99,125
	3	-	3	-	4	No		No															0	0	1	3	10	19	23	22	13	6	2	0	0				2.2		10,435	*
11	3	-	2	-	5	No		No																	0	0	1	2	8	17	25	24	15	6	1	0	0		23.0		36,070
	2	-	5	-	3	No		No																				2	9	24	23	27	11	3	2				16.0		194
10	3	-	1	-	6	No		No																		0	0	0	2	6	15	23	25	18	8	2	0		53.3		69,103
	2	-	4	-	4	No		No																			0	0	2	8	17	26	25	15	5	1	0		46.5		1,343	*
9	3	-	0	-	7	No		No																			0	0	0	1	3	9	21	29	24	11	2		87.1		56,882
	2	-	3	-	5	No		No																				0	0	1	4	11	22	30	21	10	1		84.2		6,253	*
8	2	-	2	-	6	No		No																					0	0	0	2	9	22	33	25	8		97.5		18,119
	1	-	5	-	4	No		No																							1	4	14	17	37	22	5		95.5		110
7	2	-	1	-	7	No		No																							0	0	2	10	27	39	22		99.7		29,711
	1	-	4	-	5	No		No																									3	11	29	39	20		Yes		532
6	2	-	0	-	8	No		No																								0	0	2	13	38	47		100.0		21,277
	1	-	3	-	6	No		No																									0	3	13	38	46		Yes		2,104	*
5	1	-	2	-	7	No		No																									0	1	5	31	63		Yes		5,164	*
4	1	-	1	-	8	No		No																										0	2	22	75		Yes		7,497
	0	-	4	-	6	No		No																											4	22	74		Yes		74
3	1	-	0	-	9	No		No																											0	9	91		Yes		4,749
	0	-	3	-	7	No		No																												7	93		Yes		283
2	0	-	2	-	8	No		No																												4	96		Yes		686
1	0	-	1	-	9	No		No																												3	97		Yes		833
0	0	-	0	-	10	No		No																													0	100	Yes		578

Total:						3.2	%	21.2	%	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	0	17.5	%	1,115,510

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Win Championship