How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Fusion 2 vs Orono-0.0+0.1+0.0
Fusion 1 vs STMA*-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Orono vs Tonka+0.1*+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the North Oaks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
279-0-099.4%Yes991No1,139
258-1-097.4Yes973No1,642
248-0-188.9Yes891100No8,997
237-2-085.5Yes851400No1,081
227-1-172.9Yes732430No12,741
217-0-242.5Yes433915300No36,682
6-3-041.2Yes41371840No425
206-2-133.4Yes334120510No8,021
196-1-213.799.9%143232165100No45,279
5-4-015.0Yes153527176No133
186-0-31.494.618202824134100No86,083
5-3-11.696.021024302110310No2,841
175-2-20.168.00141323271993100No23,635
4-5-0No72.7932321414No22
165-1-3No11.1000381724231572000No90,389
4-4-1No14.0121120232116410No594
155-0-4No1.9000261523251783100No129,367
4-3-2No3.40138182523146100No6,811
3-6-0No25.0252550No4
144-2-3No0.0001411202522124100No39,506
3-5-1NoNo1520272214101No86
134-1-4NoNo001391824221462000No112,938
3-4-2NoNo01511202422114100No1,136
124-0-5NoNo00151322251993100No129,749
3-3-3NoNo0027162425168200No9,099
2-6-1NoNo204040No5
113-2-4NoNo001391925231451000.2%38,959
2-5-2NoNo7111326261243No120
103-1-5NoNo00151221252111410015.890,010
2-4-3NoNo126132026201031013.21,184
93-0-6NoNo000261323261992056.586,322
2-3-4NoNo00281625251671049.26,822
1-6-2NoNo505050.02
82-2-5NoNo001413263120594.923,478
1-5-3NoNo3315293016494.979
72-1-6NoNo00151732311399.045,048
1-4-4NoNo0062130311299.5555
62-0-7NoNo015194135100.037,421
1-3-5NoNo01521403399.92,736
0-6-3NoNo204040Yes5
51-2-6NoNo00163161100.07,771
0-5-4NoNo133850Yes24
41-1-7NoNo0032572Yes12,976
0-4-5NoNo32770Yes137
31-0-8NoNo11287Yes9,250
0-3-6NoNo21286Yes464
20-2-7NoNo0397Yes1,108
10-1-8NoNo397Yes1,557
00-0-9NoNo199Yes1,077
Total:4.2%20.6%4443323455322345543233443444018.7%1,115,510
Points
Chance Will Win Championship