How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
STMA vs MU-2.0-1.1+2.2
-9.0-3.2+9.6
+8.2+1.4-8.4
-2.5-0.7+2.6
Keliix vs MU-2.0-1.1+2.2
-9.0-3.3+9.6
+8.0+1.4-8.3
-2.4-0.7+2.6
Edina vs Tonka+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
MU vs STMA+2.3-1.1-2.1
+9.7-3.5-9.0
-8.4+1.5+8.1
+2.6-0.7-2.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MU finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
3010-0-099.8%Yes1000No534
289-1-098.3Yes982No859
279-0-192.7Yes9370No4,688
268-2-083.3Yes831510No658
258-1-175.7Yes7622200No7,453
248-0-257.0Yes5734810No21,406
7-3-061.1Yes61318No301
237-2-136.4Yes364218400No5,032
227-1-220.1100.0%20372811300No29,449
6-4-019.3Yes1944279No88
217-0-35.599.06203125134100No56,707
6-3-16.099.562534239200No2,067
206-2-21.595.029222823124100No17,623*
196-1-30.280.00291926231351000No68,894
5-4-10.782.3131222251912510No536
186-0-40.030.3001391823221572100No99,312
5-3-2No37.901511212419125100No6,195*
175-2-3No6.1001512212520104100No35,818
4-5-1No4.1131628291642No97
165-1-4No0.200014111924211352000No103,839
4-4-2No0.50271422231710310No1,246*
155-0-5No0.0000137142122171041000No119,768
4-3-3NoNo0014101723211473100No10,362*
144-2-4NoNo0001513222519103100No44,776
3-5-2NoNo59162519158111No176
134-1-5NoNo0001512202420125100000.0%103,796
3-4-3NoNo02714232318940No1,862*
124-0-6NoNo00013816232316831003.299,552
3-3-4NoNo013101824221362002.210,466*
113-2-5NoNo0002817252415620022.736,042
2-5-3NoNo115172834122114.7177
103-1-6NoNo00261523251882053.769,740
2-4-4NoNo1281624251571048.11,419*
93-0-7NoNo00131021282411286.756,670
2-3-5NoNo014112130239284.46,245*
82-2-6NoNo0029233325897.618,196
1-5-4NoNo511253123695.0121
72-1-7NoNo002927392399.729,835
1-4-5NoNo131328362099.4538
62-0-8NoNo002133847100.021,241
1-3-6NoNo02134044Yes2,076*
51-2-7NoNo153163Yes5,207
0-5-5NoNo93655Yes22
41-1-8NoNo022276Yes7,332
0-4-6NoNo12574Yes89
31-0-9NoNo01090Yes4,672
0-3-7NoNo11287Yes284
20-2-8NoNo496Yes605
10-1-9NoNo298Yes867
00-0-10NoNo199Yes572
Total:3.2%21.1%3344444333444433344444444433017.5%1,115,510

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship