How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Edina vs Tonka+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blackhawks vs MTA-3.3-2.1+3.7
-10.7-5.7+11.7
+9.8+2.8-10.3
-3.0-0.8+3.1
Three Rivers vs Maplebrook*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the MTA finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
248-0-099.6%Yes1000No2,315
227-1-097.6Yes9820No3,063
217-0-187.3Yes87121No17,855
206-2-082.2Yes821710No1,960
196-1-145.7Yes463913200No21,873
186-0-233.4100.0%3341205100No62,765
5-3-036.4Yes3642183No593
175-2-116.4100.016353113410No11,487
165-1-21.595.119212923124100No65,479
4-4-01.597.7213272423921No130
155-0-30.059.2003102026221251000No125,586
4-3-10.066.201412232719112100No3,300
144-2-2No9.8000271623241772000No28,274
3-5-0NoNo242435666No17
134-1-3No1.20014122125211141000No108,752
3-4-1No1.70191525231773No578
124-0-4No0.00000261219221912520000No156,251
3-3-2NoNo001281622211694100No6,458
2-6-0NoNo2080No5
113-2-3NoNo00138182523146100No37,823
2-5-1NoNo49173124114No54
103-1-4NoNo000141120252112510000.2%108,663
2-4-2NoNo0017142024191031No871
93-0-5NoNo00026142325189310011.7125,062
2-3-3NoNo0027162524177208.86,744
1-6-1NoNo6733No3
82-2-4NoNo000271624241772050.228,430
1-5-2NoNo2382724189936.466
72-1-5NoNo001311243223796.465,199
1-4-3NoNo1310243221795.2547
62-0-6NoNo00141531341599.262,622
1-3-4NoNo0151730341499.13,302
0-6-2NoNo100Yes1
51-2-5NoNo01419413599.911,317
0-5-3NoNo10144829Yes21
41-1-6NoNo0042868Yes21,843
0-4-4NoNo22672Yes149
31-0-7NoNo011485Yes18,014
0-3-5NoNo011386Yes695
20-2-6NoNo0496Yes1,825
10-1-7NoNo0397Yes3,130
00-0-8NoNo199Yes2,388
Total:5.1%23.7%5433444333333433333444333455019.5%1,115,510
Points
Chance Will Win Championship