How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Lakeville vs RYSA+1.8-1.1-2.1
+8.3-4.2-9.8
-7.7+2.3+9.3
+2.3-0.9-2.7
Lakeville vs Eagan+1.8-1.2-2.0
+8.3-4.3-9.7
-7.7+2.4+9.3
+2.3-1.0-2.7
Edina vs Tonka+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
North Metro vs Gitchi Gummi*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Keliix vs MU*+0.0+0.4-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eclipse vs Lakeville-1.8-0.9+2.5
-8.2-2.2+10.9
+6.9+0.3-8.8
-2.2-0.4+2.9
Orono vs Tonka+0.2+0.2-0.2
*+0.1+0.4-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
Keliix vs STMA*+0.0+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lakeville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
3010-0-099.0%Yes9910No1,654
289-1-097.5Yes9820No2,362
279-0-192.0Yes92800No13,747
268-2-081.2Yes81181No1,826
258-1-174.9Yes752230No21,338
248-0-254.9Yes55359100No62,315
7-3-060.6Yes613181No868
237-2-134.4Yes344219410No15,120
227-1-218.3100.0%183729123000No87,706
6-4-023.2Yes2337271110No276
217-0-35.098.8519302614510000No168,477
6-3-16.599.1721312512310No6,180
206-2-21.494.518212823134100No53,569
5-5-03.396.7310183025113No61
196-1-30.278.50281926241461000No206,862
5-4-10.783.3131122262211410No1,609
186-0-40.029.20013917232215721000No300,293
5-3-20.035.30014112024211252000No18,810*
175-2-3No5.80014122125201141000No108,384
4-5-1No9.111715252320621No285
165-1-4No0.200014111924211352000No312,969
4-4-2No0.400261422232093100No3,991
155-0-5NoNo00137142122171041000No360,644
4-3-3NoNo0014917222115831000No31,820*
144-2-4NoNo00015132225191031000No136,307
3-5-2NoNo03618222317821No576*
134-1-5NoNo0000151220242011410000.0%313,599
3-4-3NoNo0126152224189310No5,456*
124-0-6NoNo00013917232215720002.9299,793
3-3-4NoNo0014101824221362001.931,679*
113-2-5NoNo0013918252414610021.6108,310
2-5-3NoNo1212202723105015.3574*
103-1-6NoNo000271524251772051.8207,164
2-4-4NoNo00281724251671048.14,076
93-0-7NoNo000131022292310285.5169,772
2-3-5NoNo0014122329229184.118,792*
82-2-6NoNo000210243324797.253,243
1-5-4NoNo1411233320895.6272
72-1-7NoNo0021128382199.788,146
1-4-5NoNo0031129381999.61,578
62-0-8NoNo003143944100.062,566
1-3-6NoNo003154042100.06,047*
51-2-7NoNo0163261Yes15,195*
41-1-8NoNo022374Yes21,429
0-4-6NoNo12970Yes278
31-0-9NoNo00990Yes13,766
0-3-7NoNo01089Yes897
20-2-8NoNo0496Yes1,903
10-1-9NoNo0397Yes2,312
00-0-10NoNo199Yes1,634
Total:3.0%20.8%3344444433444443444444444333017.0%3,346,530

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship