"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
North Metro vs Gitchi Gummi-2.6-0.9+3.5
-8.9-3.5+12.0
+7.3+0.2-9.4
-2.3-0.6+3.1
Edina vs Tonka+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Prior Lake vs Shakopee*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs Eagan*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Lakeville vs RYSA-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Blaine vs Maplebrook*-0.0+0.1-0.0
STMA vs MU*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Keliix vs MU*-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Orono vs Tonka+0.2+0.3-0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Three Rivers vs Blaine*+0.0+0.2-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gitchi Gummi finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
279-0-099.3%Yes991No3,509
258-1-097.3Yes9730No5,035
248-0-187.0Yes871210No29,492
237-2-084.9Yes851410No3,508
227-1-170.6Yes7126300No40,606
217-0-240.2100.0%4040163000No117,378
6-3-041.8Yes424114200No1,417
206-2-131.5100.03141216100No24,611
196-1-212.899.91332321751000No141,348
5-4-018.399.718312818500No371
186-0-31.294.118202824135100No270,513
5-3-11.795.629232823104100No8,731
175-2-20.065.701412232720103100No73,307
4-5-0No79.461722331362No63
165-1-3No10.50002816242316720000No278,194
4-4-1No13.80131020262213520No1,941
155-0-4No1.800002614232518931000No395,723
4-3-2No2.90028172523156200No20,972
3-6-0NoNo38251325No8
144-2-3No0.0001411202621124100No120,201
3-5-1NoNo02714222219112No246
134-1-4NoNo0001391824221462000No339,826
3-4-2NoNo00141319252012510No3,619*
124-0-5NoNo00015132325199310000.0%386,658
3-3-3NoNo000271624241672000No27,363
2-6-1NoNo5261626215No19
113-2-4NoNo00013101926221351000.2116,897
2-5-2NoNo01513202619104100.3346
103-1-5NoNo000151221252011310014.8263,330
2-4-3NoNo002515222518931012.23,490*
93-0-6NoNo0000261523251882053.9248,619
2-3-4NoNo001271725241661048.019,763
1-6-2NoNo526371116531.619
82-2-5NoNo001414273119594.667,443
1-5-3NoNo00516243315594.2243
72-1-6NoNo000161832301298.7127,269
1-4-4NoNo00161831311298.81,704
62-0-7NoNo001520413399.9102,886
1-3-5NoNo01622403199.97,737
0-6-3NoNo14432914Yes7
51-2-6NoNo0173359Yes21,484
0-5-4NoNo224453Yes55
41-1-7NoNo0032671Yes34,817
0-4-5NoNo32968Yes341
31-0-8NoNo011485Yes24,294
0-3-6NoNo11485Yes1,174
20-2-7NoNo496Yes2,989
10-1-8NoNo0297Yes4,164
00-0-9NoNo199Yes2,800
Total:4.3%21.4%4444333455432345543233433344017.2%3,346,530

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship