How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Fusion 2 vs Orono+1.0-0.5-0.9
+7.0-2.8-6.5
-11.1+2.3+10.7
+2.6-0.8-2.5
Edina vs Tonka+0.1*+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Orono vs Tonka+0.2*+0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fusion 2 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
279-0-093.2%Yes9370No1,101
258-1-076.1Yes762220No1,587
248-0-157.6Yes5833810No9,293
237-2-037.1Yes37411831No1,115
227-1-119.8100.0%20382811300No12,718
217-0-25.699.062131251341000No36,811
6-3-07.199.172829211131No451
206-2-11.695.02821292312410No7,882
196-1-20.380.0029202623135100No45,291
5-4-0No81.53103123151521No124
186-0-30.030.8001391823221472100No86,324
5-3-1No38.50151220241912510No2,768
175-2-2No6.3001513222520114100No23,463
4-5-0No20.01010102030155No20
165-1-3No0.200014111924211352000No90,723
4-4-1No0.3028162323177310No591
155-0-4No0.0000137142122171041000No129,407
4-3-2NoNo001410172320157210No6,822
3-6-0NoNo204040No5
144-2-3NoNo001513222420103100No38,658
3-5-1NoNo1371226261483No76
134-1-4NoNo000151220242011510000.0%112,602
3-4-2NoNo002614242416941000.11,198
124-0-5NoNo00013816232316831003.1129,050
3-3-3NoNo0014101824221362002.29,263
2-6-1NoNo2575No4
113-2-4NoNo00012817252415610023.039,331
2-5-2NoNo141222202114519.4139
103-1-5NoNo000261423251882054.189,946
2-4-3NoNo0281524281561050.21,201
1-7-1NoNo100No2
93-0-6NoNo00131020292411286.886,668
2-3-4NoNo0013112329219284.86,944
1-6-2NoNo132538131387.58
82-2-5NoNo0029223325897.523,555
1-5-3NoNo13102928191095.690
72-1-6NoNo00021027382399.745,358
1-4-4NoNo031027392099.8557
62-0-7NoNo002123847100.036,777
1-3-5NoNo02143944Yes2,757
0-6-3NoNo5050Yes2
51-2-6NoNo063063Yes7,875
0-5-4NoNo113356Yes27
41-1-7NoNo0022276Yes13,234
0-4-5NoNo11782Yes112
31-0-8NoNo00891Yes9,419
0-3-6NoNo0990Yes473
20-2-7NoNo496Yes1,079
10-1-8NoNo298Yes1,559
00-0-9NoNo199Yes1,050
Total:1.2%12.2%1222233333344433444444555555025.7%1,115,510
Points
Chance Will Win Championship