How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.3-0.2-0.3
+3.6-1.5-3.0
-14.6+3.1+12.9
+2.4-0.7-2.1
Edina vs Tonka+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4*-0.0-0.4
North Metro vs Gitchi Gummi+0.1-0.3*-0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Orono vs Tonka+0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.4*-0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fusion 2 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
279-0-093.0%Yes937No886
258-1-076.7Yes772120No1,129
248-0-155.7Yes5634910No7,261
237-2-036.2Yes36421661No926
227-1-118.9100.0%19363012300No12,257
217-0-25.198.751930261451000No41,458
6-3-07.098.7721322312410No474
206-2-11.394.318212923124100No9,037
196-1-20.278.20281826241462000No61,183
5-4-00.778.613821212512721No145
186-0-30.028.8001381723221572100No137,568
5-3-10.134.7001311202421135200No3,756
175-2-2No6.0001512212520114100No38,415
4-5-0No7.7812123115194No26
165-1-3No0.200014101924211362000No173,448
4-4-1No0.512513202518114200No984
155-0-4NoNo00137142022181051000No291,597
4-3-2NoNo0013916222215831000No13,552
3-6-0NoNo13133838No8
144-2-3NoNo001513222519103100No90,259
3-5-1NoNo381526251582No186
134-1-4NoNo0000151220242012510000.0%305,483
3-4-2NoNo00016152023191041000.02,802
124-0-5NoNo000138162323168310003.3408,232
3-3-3NoNo0014101824211462002.525,043
2-6-1NoNo22224411No9
113-2-4NoNo0012817252415620023.2127,119
2-5-2NoNo11310182720164121.4359
103-1-5NoNo000261423251992055.1340,712
2-4-3NoNo000271624251772050.33,845
1-7-1NoNo505050.02
93-0-6NoNo00013920282512287.4378,244
2-3-4NoNo0131021292410286.226,749
1-6-2NoNo666331728683.318
82-2-5NoNo0029223326897.6105,898
1-5-3NoNo49223523795.5314
72-1-6NoNo0002926392499.8235,844
1-4-4NoNo0021127382199.72,673
62-0-7NoNo0002123848100.0225,047
1-3-5NoNo002123847100.014,878
0-6-3NoNo206020Yes5
51-2-6NoNo0053164Yes48,639
0-5-4NoNo63460Yes109
41-1-7NoNo0022177Yes92,010
0-4-5NoNo022275Yes729
31-0-8NoNo00892Yes76,700
0-3-6NoNo0892Yes3,292
20-2-7NoNo0496Yes9,509
10-1-8NoNo0298Yes15,825
00-0-9NoNo199Yes11,886
Total:0.3%4.9%01111112222333333445556678912042.6%3,346,530
Points
Chance Will Win Championship