How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Fusion 1 vs STMA+2.2-1.0-2.0
+9.6-3.3-9.0
-8.4+1.3+8.2
+2.6-0.7-2.5
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.1*+0.1-0.1
Edina vs Tonka+0.2*-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook vs Fusion 1-2.0-1.1+2.2
-9.0-3.2+9.6
+8.1+1.4-8.4
-2.5-0.7+2.6

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fusion 1 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
3010-0-099.2%Yes991No595
289-1-098.8Yes991No755
279-0-192.3Yes9270No4,640
268-2-083.5Yes83160No654
258-1-176.6Yes772120No7,348
248-0-256.7Yes57348100No21,177
7-3-062.5Yes633251No256
237-2-136.0Yes36421840No5,263
227-1-219.8100.0%203828113000No29,827
6-4-028.4Yes284419422No95
217-0-35.799.06203025134100No56,891
6-3-16.199.0622322411410No2,057
206-2-21.594.829212923124100No17,886*
196-1-30.280.00292026231351000No69,011
5-4-10.387.505141930198410No575
186-0-40.030.1001391724221572100No100,362
5-3-2No38.2014122124201251000No6,178*
175-2-3No6.20001512212620104100No36,196
4-5-1No9.0126212528152No100
165-1-4No0.200014112024201352000No103,361
4-4-2No0.71161422241810310No1,344
155-0-5NoNo00137142122171041000No118,938
4-3-3NoNo0014101723211473100No10,575*
144-2-4NoNo001513222519104100No44,984
3-5-2NoNo1391727181762No204
134-1-5NoNo00151220242012510000.0%103,922
3-4-3NoNo00271323231893100.11,857
124-0-6NoNo00013816232316821003.199,079
3-3-4NoNo00014101824211362002.110,339*
113-2-5NoNo0012817252415620022.835,924
2-5-3NoNo11481625231661123.1195
103-1-6NoNo000261423261882054.068,589
2-4-4NoNo129162524166247.51,374*
93-0-7NoNo0013921292411286.957,114
2-3-5NoNo0013112328239284.86,392*
82-2-6NoNo0029233325797.418,028
1-5-4NoNo110213821898.886
72-1-7NoNo0021027382399.729,768
1-4-5NoNo13928392099.2523
62-0-8NoNo02133847Yes21,254
1-3-6NoNo02144044Yes2,093*
51-2-7NoNo0163063Yes5,052
0-5-5NoNo61183Yes18
41-1-8NoNo022375Yes7,429
0-4-6NoNo151876Yes88
31-0-9NoNo0991Yes4,838
0-3-7NoNo11486Yes293
20-2-8NoNo496Yes649
10-1-9NoNo397Yes802
00-0-10NoNo0100Yes532
Total:3.2%21.2%3344444433444433344444444333017.5%1,115,510

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship