How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Fusion 1 vs STMA+1.8-1.2-2.0
+8.3-4.2-9.7
-7.6+2.3+9.3
+2.3-1.0-2.7
Edina vs Tonka+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.3-0.2
+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Fusion 2 vs Orono+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.2-0.2
+0.3*-0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0
Keliix vs Three Rivers+0.1*+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/9100.0*Chance wins title100.0*State100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Maplebrook vs Fusion 1-1.8-0.9+2.5
-8.2-2.2+10.9
+6.9+0.3-8.8
-2.2-0.4+2.9
Orono vs Tonka+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.3-0.2
+0.2*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Fusion 1 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleState1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829RelegatedCount
3010-0-098.8%Yes991No1,626
289-1-097.1Yes973No2,371
279-0-191.6Yes9280No13,595
268-2-081.4Yes81181No1,798
258-1-175.1Yes7522300No21,856
248-0-254.9Yes55359100No62,235
7-3-058.8Yes5934700No878
237-2-134.3Yes344219400No15,017
227-1-218.4100.0%183729123000No87,618
6-4-021.9Yes223729920No265
217-0-35.098.85193026145100No169,517
6-3-16.399.2622312412410No6,266
206-2-21.394.418202924134100No53,655
5-5-0NoYes1729271215No59
196-1-30.278.60281926241461000No207,176
5-4-10.183.0031023271911510No1,562
186-0-40.029.20013917232215721000No299,609
5-3-20.035.20014112024201352000No18,611*
175-2-3No5.90015122125201141000No108,669
4-5-1No7.10717272317710No252
165-1-4No0.200014111924211362000No312,815
4-4-2No0.30261422231894100No4,012
155-0-5NoNo00137142122171041000No360,785
4-3-3NoNo001491622211583100No31,714*
144-2-4NoNo00015132225191031000No136,475
3-5-2NoNo12818222416720No569
134-1-5NoNo000151220242011410000.0%312,465
3-4-3NoNo0026152323179310No5,462*
124-0-6NoNo00013817232215720002.8299,444
3-3-4NoNo0014101924211462001.931,581*
113-2-5NoNo00013818252414610021.6108,371
2-5-3NoNo141120292184113.1536
103-1-6NoNo000271524251772051.7207,590
2-4-4NoNo01381723241761047.64,062*
93-0-7NoNo00131022292310285.7169,844
2-3-5NoNo0014112329229284.218,816*
82-2-6NoNo000310243324797.053,640
1-5-4NoNo01315213222595.6294
72-1-7NoNo0021128382199.787,780
1-4-5NoNo031127391999.71,592*
62-0-8NoNo002143944100.062,685
1-3-6NoNo03143943Yes6,208*
51-2-7NoNo0173360Yes15,253*
41-1-8NoNo022375Yes21,567
0-4-6NoNo42076Yes262
31-0-9NoNo01090Yes13,462
0-3-7NoNo1990Yes829
20-2-8NoNo0595Yes1,848
10-1-9NoNo0298Yes2,303
00-0-10NoNo199Yes1,631
Total:3.0%20.8%3334444433444443444444444333017.0%3,346,530

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship